- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Orioles
- Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN1
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on May 29, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Blue Jays are 28-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 26-31 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 3-3, 3.05 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 2-6, 7.02 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+23.00 Units / 230% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brandon Valenzuela has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 15 away games (+9.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Samuel Basallo has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+11.50 Units / 164% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Samuel Basallo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Samuel Basallo has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+14.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+10.10 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.90 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 63% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+12.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+7.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.20 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+5.00 Units / 9% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 29-28 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.55% ROI).
- 28-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.75 Units / -11.55% ROI
- 25-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.75 Units / -10.77% ROI
- 29-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 2.79% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 26-31 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -8.04% ROI).
- 26-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -13.2% ROI
- 31-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 6.99% ROI
- 24-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -16.08% ROI
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are just 2-19 (.095) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Blue Jays are 87-9 (.906) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Blue Jays are 19-73 (.207) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Blue Jays are 49-25 (.662) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Orioles (28th runs allowed).
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are just 5-26 (.161) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Orioles are just 5-13 (.278) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Blue Jays (10th in runs allowed).
The Orioles are 8-2 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .642.
The Orioles are just 16-62 (.205) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB.
The Blue Jays are batting .186 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — highest in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .632 (562 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging just .206 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .157 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.
The Orioles are batting just .144 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (1,344 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (1,344 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 5th best in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.86 (221.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.
The Orioles have allowed 6.04 runs per game (157/26) on the road this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents are hitting .260 against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.00 (150.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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