Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 31

Baltimore Orioles' Tyler O'Neill rounds the bases after hitting a two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Colorado Rockies, Saturday, July 26, 2025, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Stephanie Scarbrough)
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The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on May 31, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:15 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Blue Jays are 29-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 27-32 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Spencer Miles 2-0, 2.14 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 2-6, 3.86 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -190O 8 -102+105
Orioles -1.5 +155U 8 -118-125

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+16.00 Units / 267% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+11.40 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+10.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tyler Heineman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Tyler Heineman has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Samuel Basallo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+14.50 Units / 161% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Samuel Basallo has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Samuel Basallo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+10.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+6.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+6.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games at home (+5.05 Units / 34% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 30-29 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.53% ROI).

  • 29-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -9 Units / -11.53% ROI
  • 27-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.75 Units / -7.33% ROI
  • 29-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.85% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 27-32 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -7.76% ROI).

  • 27-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.05 Units / -12.98% ROI
  • 33-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.4 Units / 9.84% ROI
  • 24-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.35 Units / -19.06% ROI

Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
George Springer +333
Pete Alonso +333
Gunnar Henderson +350
Daulton Varsho +375
Kazuma Okamoto +390

Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
George Springer 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Nathan Lukes 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -210 0.5 +150

Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Colton Cowser 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Taylor Ward 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brandon Valenzuela 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
George Springer 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Blue Jays are 5-23 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Blue Jays are 17-76 (.183) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Blue Jays are 88-10 (.898) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are just 5-26 (.161) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Orioles are just 5-14 (.263) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Blue Jays (ninth in runs allowed).

The Orioles are 8-2 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .645.

The Orioles are just 16-63 (.203) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .350 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .460 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .145 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .301 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (1,396 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (1,396 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have 100 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Avg of just 37% against the Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.86 (221.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have 68 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th fewest in MLB.

The Orioles have allowed 6.04 runs per game (157/26) on the road this season — highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 608 times this season — 5th most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.