- The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (11-7), 5.36 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (8-6), 3.16 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+110) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 90-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 98-61 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -115 | -135 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -105 | +110 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 48 of his last 72 games (+13.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +1100 | 0.5 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +115 |
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 118 games (+14.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+12.87 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+11.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 58 away games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 139 games (+30.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 139 games (+25.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 53 of their last 92 games (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 70-89 against the Run Line (-24.3 Units / -12.78% ROI).
- 90-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units / -6.15% ROI
- 81-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.26% ROI
- 74-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.2 Units / -9.17% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 98-61 against the Run Line (+24 Units / 11.42% ROI).
- 82-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +26.25 Units / 15.2% ROI
- 71-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -10.31% ROI
- 82-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.2 Units / 2.38% ROI
José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .324 (107 Total Bases / 330 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — fourth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .420 (152 Total Bases / 362 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .272 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .292 (196-for-672) against Jose Berrios this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .475 (319 Total Bases / 672 ABs) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — second Percentile.
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of just .158 (38 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .283 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .223 (78-for-350) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .166 — second Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .363 (127 Total Bases / 350 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .265 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .278 (104-for-374) against Dean Kremer’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .222 — fifth Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 47-34 (.580) at home this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Blue Jays are 67-3 (.957) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .883.
The Blue Jays are 43-35 (.551) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Blue Jays are just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 13-67 (.162) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Orioles are 28-7 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Orioles are just 13-26 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 68-25 (.731) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .666 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .449 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Blue Jays have an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 427 strikeouts in 1,699 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles hitters have 905 strikeouts in 3,770 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 888 of 11,872 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 415 of 5,956 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 96 double plays in 1,117 opportunities (9%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.77 (1309.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Wells (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
- Ramón Urías (Orioles): Knee, D10
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Oblique, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Finger, Day-to-Day
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