Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 3

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 03, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Orioles
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (11-7), 5.36 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (8-6), 3.16 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-135) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+110) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 90-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 98-61 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +125O 7.5 -115-135
Orioles +1.5 -155U 7.5 -105+110

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 40 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 48 of his last 72 games (+13.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 23 games (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+8.70 Units / 27% ROI)

Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Anthony Santander 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Austin Hays 0.5 +1100 0.5
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +875 0.5 -5000
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Anthony Santander 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Austin Hays 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Anthony Santander 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Austin Hays 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dean Kremer 3.5 -165 3.5 +115
Jose Berrios 4.5 +105 4.5 -150
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 67 of their last 118 games (+14.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+12.87 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 away games (+11.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 31 of their last 58 away games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 76 of their last 139 games (+30.45 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 88 of their last 139 games (+25.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 53 of their last 92 games (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 39 of their last 67 games at home (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 70-89 against the Run Line (-24.3 Units / -12.78% ROI).

  • 90-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.1 Units / -6.15% ROI
  • 81-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.26% ROI
  • 74-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.2 Units / -9.17% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 98-61 against the Run Line (+24 Units / 11.42% ROI).

  • 82-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +26.25 Units / 15.2% ROI
  • 71-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -10.31% ROI
  • 82-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.2 Units / 2.38% ROI

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .324 (107 Total Bases / 330 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — fourth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .420 (152 Total Bases / 362 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .272 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .292 (196-for-672) against Jose Berrios this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — second Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .475 (319 Total Bases / 672 ABs) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .374 — second Percentile.

Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of just .158 (38 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .283 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .223 (78-for-350) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .166 — second Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed a slugging percentage of .363 (127 Total Bases / 350 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .265 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .278 (104-for-374) against Dean Kremer’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .222 — fifth Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 47-34 (.580) at home this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Blue Jays are 67-3 (.957) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .883.

The Blue Jays are 43-35 (.551) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Blue Jays are just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 13-67 (.162) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .117.

The Orioles are 28-7 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Orioles are just 13-26 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Orioles are 68-25 (.731) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .666 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .449 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Blue Jays have an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Orioles hitters have 427 strikeouts in 1,699 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles hitters have 905 strikeouts in 3,770 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 888 of 11,872 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 415 of 5,956 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 96 double plays in 1,117 opportunities (9%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.77 (1309.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Knee, D10
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
  • Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Oblique, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Finger, Day-to-Day

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.