Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 05, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The (110-51) are favorites vs the (110-51)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trevor Richards (3-2), 5.42 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Michael Baumann (1-3), 4.34 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Toronto Blue Jays () visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles () on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().

The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 91-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 98-62 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays O
Orioles U

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 62.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+14.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 48 of his last 72 games (+13.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.40 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 69% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 71-89 against the Run Line (-22.95 Units / -12% ROI).

  • 91-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.1 Units / -5.74% ROI
  • 81-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -0.86% ROI
  • 75-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.2 Units / -8.55% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 98-62 against the Run Line (+22.45 Units / 10.6% ROI).

  • 82-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.25 Units / 14.54% ROI
  • 71-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.05 Units / -10.84% ROI
  • 83-71 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 2.93% ROI

Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .249 (80 Total Bases / 321 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .237 (22-for-93) against Alek Manoah on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .337 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .158 (82-for-520) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Baumann: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 63% (17/27) against Michael Baumann — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.

Spenser Watkins has allowed an OBP of .410 (161 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .321 — second Percentile.

Division opponents are hitting .455 (15-for-33) against Spenser Watkins — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .455 (15-for-33) against Spenser Watkins — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — first Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 68-3 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Blue Jays are 77-19 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Blue Jays are 47-34 (.580) at home this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Blue Jays are 77-4 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 8-68 (.105) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Orioles are 13-68 (.160) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

The Orioles are 61-2 (.968) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Orioles are 65-3 (.956) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

Blue Jays hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Blue Jays hitters have just 569 strikeouts in 2,807 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Blue Jays are batting .263 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Orioles hitters have 905 strikeouts in 3,773 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles hitters have 427 strikeouts in 1,702 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .471 (3,183 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .505.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 891 of 11,899 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 67% of opposing batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 418 of 5,983 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 185 of 2,825 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.76 (1316.2 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Shoulder, D15
  • Félix Bautista (Orioles): Knee, D15
  • Ramón Urías (Orioles): Knee, D10
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
  • Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Oblique, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Kevin Gausman (Blue Jays): Finger, Day-to-Day

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.