Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 23

Baltimore Orioles' Adley Rutschman in action during a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Saturday, Sept. 21, 2024, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Nick Wass)
Odds Boost This Week
  • The Orioles are -130 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN | TVA

The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-130) on September 23, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35 pm in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Blue Jays are 77-80 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 82-74 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 3-8, 6.10 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -210O 8 -115+105
Orioles -1.5 +170U 8 -105-130

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+6.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+15.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+10.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 45 games (+1.55 Units / 3% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 78-78 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -2.4% ROI).

  • 77-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.5 Units / -6.94% ROI
  • 80-73 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.12% ROI
  • 73-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.85 Units / -8.58% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 82-74 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 0.6% ROI).

  • 76-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.1 Units / -6.06% ROI
  • 78-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.4 Units / -2.54% ROI
  • 75-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.8 Units / -5.7% ROI

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are just 7-57 (.109) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 13-37 (.260) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are just 37-42 (.468) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are just 22-80 (.216) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles were just 10-67 (.130) when they allowed 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Blue Jays are batting .196 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .652 (1,729 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .357 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against LHP this season — highest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .157 with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Orioles are batting just .234 this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (3,871 balls in play) — best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have won only 17% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 10% of batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (3,871 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

The Orioles pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 57% of their games this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers has induced two-strike counts to 51% of batters they faced (3,032/6,006 PA’s) this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Orioles pitchers are throwing just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.