Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Blue Jays (75-59) are -110 favorites vs the Orioles (71-64)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-5), 4.67 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish (3-5), 5.17 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-110) on Tuesday, September 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 73-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 87-47 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +145O 8.5 +100-110
Orioles +1.5 -175U 8.5 -120-110

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 51.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 37 of his last 56 away games (+13.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+12.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 56 away games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 57 games at home (+16.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games at home (+16.25 Units / 34% ROI)

Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Anthony Santander 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Austin Hays 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600

Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Anthony Santander 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Austin Hays 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Anthony Santander 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Austin Hays 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Bradish 4.5 +125 4.5 -175
Mitch White 3.5 -115 3.5 -120
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 92 games (+16.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 73 games (+14.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+12.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 75 games (+1.90 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 56-75 against the Run Line (-24.1 Units / -15.32% ROI).

  • 73-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.1 Units / -9.44% ROI
  • 66-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.3 Units / -1.61% ROI
  • 62-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -7.81% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 87-47 against the Run Line (+30.75 Units / 17.34% ROI).

  • 71-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +29.25 Units / 20.4% ROI
  • 60-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.55 Units / -9.91% ROI
  • 69-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 2.18% ROI

Mitch White has walked 2 of 87 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Mitch White has not allowed a walk in his last 61 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 21st — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 164.

Mitch White has recorded 46 of his 67 strikeouts (69%) with breaking balls this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (38/346) against Mitch White on fastballs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 19% — second Percentile.

Kyle Bradish: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed batters are hitting just .031 (1-for-32) against Kyle Bradish — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .083 (4-for-48) against Kyle Bradish — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has an ERA of 7.99 (41.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 3.89 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Bradish has allowed a slugging percentage of .656 (40 Total Bases / 61 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 0 Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 37-30 (.552) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Blue Jays are 13-11 (.542) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Blue Jays are just 3-49 (.058) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 24-5 (.828) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .666.

The Orioles are 7-56 (.111) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Orioles are 11-55 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Orioles are 53-1 (.981) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

Blue Jays hitters have just 512 strikeouts in 2,580 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Orioles hitters have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 59% against LHP over the last 14 days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Orioles hitters have chased 32% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 349 of 5,009 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 822 of 10,925 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (586.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 11 of 248 batters (4%) over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 168 of 2,605 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Orioles have won just just 15% of the time since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Jordan Lyles (Orioles): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Tyler Wells (Orioles): Side, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.