Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 07, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Blue Jays (75-60) are -145 favorites vs the Orioles (72-64)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (13-7), 2.48 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (6-4), 3.22 ERA
  • Watch the game on MASN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+120) on Wednesday, September 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 73-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 88-47 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +120O 7.5 -105-145
Orioles +1.5 -145U 7.5 -115+120

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Orioles vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 51 of his last 90 games (+11.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 away games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.25 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.80 Units / 42% ROI)

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 43 games at home (+16.55 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+14.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Kyle Bradish has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)

Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Anthony Santander 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +1050 0.5

Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Anthony Santander 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Jorge Mateo 0.5 -145 0.5 +100

Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Anthony Santander 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Gunnar Henderson 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Jorge Mateo 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Manoah 5.5 -115 5.5 -125
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 55 of their last 93 games (+17.70 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 40 of their last 69 games (+11.35 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 76 games (+2.90 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 56-76 against the Run Line (-25.1 Units / -15.86% ROI).

  • 73-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.15 Units / -9.87% ROI
  • 67-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -0.9% ROI
  • 62-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.35 Units / -8.44% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 88-47 against the Run Line (+31.75 Units / 17.74% ROI).

  • 72-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +30.25 Units / 20.93% ROI
  • 61-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -9.15% ROI
  • 69-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 1.5% ROI

Right-handed batters are hitting just .164 (45-for-275) against Alek Manoah this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .160 (76-for-474) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .486 (524 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: .714 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .240 (25 Total Bases / 104 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 97th Percentile.

Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Dean Kremer has not allowed a home run in any of the last 26.0 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 59.1.

Dean Kremer has not walked any of the 31 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .298 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (49/165) against Dean Kremer on non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays are 56-2 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Blue Jays are 63-16 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Blue Jays are just 3-50 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Blue Jays are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 24-5 (.828) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .665.

The Orioles are 11-55 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Orioles are 54-1 (.982) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Orioles are 56-2 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

The Blue Jays are batting .368 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .293 (5,618 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .666 (5,618 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .309 (4,715 PA’s) with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 355 of 5,050 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 828 of 10,966 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 84 double plays in 947 opportunities (9%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 283 barreled balls this season — 4th most in MLB.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (1189.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Jordan Lyles (Orioles): Illness, Day-to-Day
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.