- The Blue Jays (75-60) are -145 favorites vs the Orioles (72-64)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (13-7), 2.48 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer (6-4), 3.22 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (+120) on Wednesday, September 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Blue Jays vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 73-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 88-47 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +120 | O 7.5 -105 | -145 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -145 | U 7.5 -115 | +120 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 51.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 51 of his last 90 games (+11.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 47 away games (+7.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+7.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.80 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 43 games at home (+16.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+14.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ryan McKenna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +100 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -550 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 55 of their last 93 games (+17.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 40 of their last 69 games (+11.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 37 of their last 76 games (+2.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 56-76 against the Run Line (-25.1 Units / -15.86% ROI).
- 73-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.15 Units / -9.87% ROI
- 67-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -0.9% ROI
- 62-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.35 Units / -8.44% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 88-47 against the Run Line (+31.75 Units / 17.74% ROI).
- 72-63 when betting on the Moneyline for +30.25 Units / 20.93% ROI
- 61-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.55 Units / -9.15% ROI
- 69-61 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 1.5% ROI
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting just .164 (45-for-275) against Alek Manoah this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .160 (76-for-474) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .486 (524 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: .714 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .240 (25 Total Bases / 104 ABs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 97th Percentile.
Dean Kremer: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has not allowed a home run in any of the last 26.0 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 59.1.
Dean Kremer has not walked any of the 31 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .298 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (49/165) against Dean Kremer on non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 56-2 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Blue Jays are 63-16 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Blue Jays are just 3-50 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Blue Jays are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 24-5 (.828) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .665.
The Orioles are 11-55 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.
The Orioles are 54-1 (.982) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Orioles are 56-2 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .916.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Blue Jays are batting .368 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .664 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .293 (5,618 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of just .666 (5,618 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .309 (4,715 PA’s) with runners on base since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
Orioles hitters have chased 33% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 355 of 5,050 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 828 of 10,966 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 84 double plays in 947 opportunities (9%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 283 barreled balls this season — 4th most in MLB.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (1189.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Wells (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Jordan Lyles (Orioles): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
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