- The Blue Jays are -102 favorites vs the Padres
- Blue Jays vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Padres TV Channel: PDTV | RSN | TVA
The Toronto Blue Jays (-102) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-118) on July 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 44-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 48-42 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Shane Bieber 0-1, 9.01 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: JP Sears 2-1, 4.70 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -115 | -102 |
| Padres | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -105 | -118 |
Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+14.10 Units / 235% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.20 Units / 67% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- JP Sears has hit the Strikeouts Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 74% ROI)
- JP Sears has hit the Walks Allowed Over in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 88% ROI)
- JP Sears has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+3.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- JP Sears has hit the Earned Runs Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+2.05 Units / 29% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+8.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+5.75 Units / 27% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- No trends found
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 45-47 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -3.72% ROI).
- 44-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.65 Units / -12.44% ROI
- 47-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 43-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -8.11% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 48-42 against the Run Line (-0.45 Units / -0.36% ROI).
- 46-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -1.9% ROI
- 40-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.9 Units / -14.68% ROI
- 50-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.25 Units / 6.19% ROI
Padres vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kazuma Okamoto | +250 |
| Manny Machado | +333 |
| George Springer | +390 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | +400 |
| Jackson Merrill | +400 |
Padres vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jackson Merrill | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Padres vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nathan Lukes | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Manny Machado | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Blue Jays are just 8-24 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .368.
The Blue Jays are 6-38 (.136) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Blue Jays are just 5-33 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Blue Jays are 18-91 (.165) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .093.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Padres are 35-1 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Padres are 4-44 (.083) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Padres are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 36-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays have scored 109 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .289 (1,631 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters are slugging just .352 at home this season — lowest in MLB.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .645 (1,989 PA’s) against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
Padres hitters are slugging just .371 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .662 (801 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (2,248 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers have 156 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 69% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .267 against Padres pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .285 against Padres pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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