• The Blue Jays are -135 favorites vs the Padres
• Blue Jays vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Blue Jays / Padres TV Channel: PDTV | RSN | TVA

The Toronto Blue Jays (-135) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+110) on July 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 45-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 49-44 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 4-8, 4.28 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: German Marquez 4-2, 5.11 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonatan Clase has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+19.00 Units / 475% ROI)
• Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 35% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ty France has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+17.30 Units / 346% ROI)
• Gavin Sheets has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.25 Units / 38% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.95 Units / 30% ROI)
• Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+8.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 away games (+7.85 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 away games (+7.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+5.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+4.45 Units / 10% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.10 Units / 29% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games at home (+4.10 Units / 7% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.15 Units / 30% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games at home (+2.45 Units / 9% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 46-48 against the Run Line (-4.45 Units / -3.63% ROI).

• 45-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.7 Units / -12.26% ROI
• 48-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.1% ROI
• 44-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.45 Units / -8.08% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 49-44 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -1.14% ROI).

• 47-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.6 Units / -3.23% ROI
• 41-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.1 Units / -15.37% ROI
• 52-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.1 Units / 6.8% ROI

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Blue Jays are just 9-25 (.265) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .368.

The Blue Jays are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Blue Jays are 18-92 (.164) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .093.

The Blue Jays are 21-90 (.189) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Padres are 31-4 (.886) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Padres are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Padres are 37-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Padres are 4-45 (.082) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .053.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting just .220 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .473 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Padres Hitting Stats & Trends

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .674 (3,494 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Padres hitters have an OBP of just .303 (3,494 PA’s) this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .216 against starting pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Padres are batting just .220 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season (2,299 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (2,299 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 159 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Padres Pitching Stats & Trends

Padres pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Padres pitchers this season traveled 437.3 feet — — shortest in MLB

The Padres pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 66% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in the first 5 innings this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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