• The Phillies are -220 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (+180) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-220) on August 7, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 54-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 46-69 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 9-6, 3.35 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 10-2, 2.50 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 72.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+15.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 18% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.50 Units / 57% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+8.00 Units / 200% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Justin Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 48% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.80 Units / 32% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.55 Units / 57% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 42% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.55 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+5.15 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 away games (+3.35 Units / 6% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 66% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+4.40 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 35 games (+3.70 Units / 10% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 55-60 against the Run Line (-11 Units / -7.28% ROI).

• 54-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.3 Units / -12.63% ROI
• 56-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.45 Units / -5.05% ROI
• 57-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.2 Units / -3.29% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 46-69 against the Run Line (-29.85 Units / -21.69% ROI).

• 62-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -3.76% ROI
• 49-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.85 Units / -13.95% ROI
• 61-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.6 Units / 5.97% ROI

Phillies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays were 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies were 69-5 (.932) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Phillies were 95-67 (.586) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies were 49-11 (.817) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,188 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .678 (4,299 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters are slugging .739 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .225 (2,327 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .289 (2,133 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies have scored first in 61% of their games this season — highest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,822 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have won only 19% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,789 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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