• The Phillies are -170 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (+140) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-170) on August 8, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 55-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 46-70 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Max Scherzer 1-4, 8.11 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 3-9, 5.57 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+15.50 Units / 31% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
• Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
• Max Scherzer has hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.90 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• Justin Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 39% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
• Aaron Nola has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 45% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+7.55 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 away games (+6.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 away games (+5.55 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 31% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.55 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.65 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games at home (+3.60 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games at home (+3.40 Units / 12% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 56-60 against the Run Line (-10 Units / -6.57% ROI).

• 55-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.5 Units / -11.31% ROI
• 57-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.45 Units / -4.23% ROI
• 57-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.3 Units / -4.12% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 46-70 against the Run Line (-30.85 Units / -22.25% ROI).

• 62-55 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -4.92% ROI
• 50-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.85 Units / -13.06% ROI
• 61-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 5.06% ROI

Phillies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays were 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Phillies were 81-21 (.794) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Phillies were 44-9 (.830) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,193 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .630 (1,193 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters are slugging .734 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .224 on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .227 (2,354 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .461 (2,354 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,847 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (2,847 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,818 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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