Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 9

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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  • The Phillies are -210 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
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The Toronto Blue Jays (+170) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-210) on August 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 56-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 46-71 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 5-5, 3.67 ERA
  • Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 10-5, 3.37 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -120O 8.5 -115+170
Phillies -1.5 +100U 8.5 -105-210

Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.90 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+11.10 Units / 111% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.10 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.65 Units / 29% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 57-60 against the Run Line (-9 Units / -5.86% ROI).

  • 56-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -10.21% ROI
  • 58-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -3.43% ROI
  • 57-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -4.97% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 46-71 against the Run Line (-31.85 Units / -22.81% ROI).

  • 62-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -5.87% ROI
  • 51-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.85 Units / -12.18% ROI
  • 61-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 4.13% ROI

Phillies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kyle Schwarber +200
Bryce Harper +280
Kazuma Okamoto +333
Brandon Marsh +425
Trea Turner +425

Phillies vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bryce Harper 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Ernie Clement 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Alec Bohm 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Phillies vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Nathan Lukes 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Brandon Marsh 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Bryce Harper 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Myles Straw 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Andres Gimenez 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Blue Jays were 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.

The Phillies were 96-66 (.593) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies were 79-4 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .307 (3,186 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters are slugging .728 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .227 (2,377 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .289 (2,133 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .654 (2,133 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 65 double plays in 850 opportunities (8%) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.