- The Phillies are -210 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | RSN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+170) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-210) on August 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 56-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 46-71 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 5-5, 3.67 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 10-5, 3.37 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -115 | +170 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -105 | -210 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 away games (+14.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 games (+9.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+6.90 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 33% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+11.10 Units / 111% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.10 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 away games (+8.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.20 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.30 Units / 23% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+4.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 25 games (+3.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+3.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.65 Units / 29% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 57-60 against the Run Line (-9 Units / -5.86% ROI).
- 56-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -10.21% ROI
- 58-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -3.43% ROI
- 57-58 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -4.97% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 46-71 against the Run Line (-31.85 Units / -22.81% ROI).
- 62-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -5.87% ROI
- 51-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.85 Units / -12.18% ROI
- 61-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 4.13% ROI
Phillies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | +200 |
| Bryce Harper | +280 |
| Kazuma Okamoto | +333 |
| Brandon Marsh | +425 |
| Trea Turner | +425 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ernie Clement | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nathan Lukes | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brandon Marsh | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Myles Straw | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Andres Gimenez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Blue Jays were 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Phillies were 15-45 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies were 96-66 (.593) in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies were 79-4 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.
The Blue Jays are batting just .216 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .307 (3,186 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .728 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .227 (2,377 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .289 (2,133 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .654 (2,133 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 53% of their games on the road this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Blue Jays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 65 double plays in 850 opportunities (8%) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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