- The Blue Jays are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Rangers starting pitcher: Martín Pérez
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Toronto Blue Jays (-145) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+120) on Friday, June 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Blue Jays vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 38-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 42-26 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +110 | O 9 -110 | -145 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | U 9 -110 | +120 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 65.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+18.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+17.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 34 games (+12.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+12.50 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+17.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+17.45 Units / 60% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+14.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Runs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+12.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -115 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Grossman | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Leody Taveras | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +120 |
| Martin Perez | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 25 away games (+2.05 Units / 7% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 60 games (+29.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 43 of their last 60 games (+25.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 60 games (+22.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 60 games (+19.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 60 games (+13.10 Units / 15% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 33-37 against the Run Line (-6.15 Units / -7.08% ROI).
- 38-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -4.23% ROI
- 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -8.11% ROI
- 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.6 Units / -0.77% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 42-26 against the Run Line (+15.6 Units / 18% ROI).
- 42-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.3 Units / 12.68% ROI
- 39-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.5 Units / 14% ROI
- 26-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.85 Units / -22.53% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (589/772) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 91 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .136 (24 Total Bases / 176 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .282 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strikeout rate of 55% (117 SO in 212 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (22-for-199) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .164 — 96th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (26/177) against Martin Perez this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 46% of the time (224/483) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .302 (87-for-288) against Martin Perez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed an OBP of .349 (272 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Blue Jays are 34-7 (.829) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Blue Jays are 3-25 (.107) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Blue Jays are 18-22 (.450) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Blue Jays are 52-73 (.416) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rangers are just 0-17 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Rangers are just 94-16 (.855) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Rangers are 10-6 (.625) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .387.
The Rangers are just 0-19 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .267 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .331 (7,158 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .432 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .305 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Rangers are batting .307 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
The Rangers are batting .194 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
The Rangers have scored three or more runs in an inning 61 times (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 21 of 482 batters (4%) over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 2 of 116 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 647 of 8,725 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 191 of 2,048 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers walked 139 of 1,440 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Rangers have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.61 (294.1 IP) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Blister, Day-to-Day
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
