- The Blue Jays (76-60) are -150 favorites vs the Rangers (59-77)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (7-4), 3.02 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (3-8), 4.37 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays (-150) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+125) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Blue Jays vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 74-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 73-60 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +110 | O 8 -110 | -150 |
| Rangers | +1.5 -135 | U 8 -110 | +125 |
Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 51 of his last 92 games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 49 away games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.65 Units / 111% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 97 games (+21.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+21.50 Units / 69% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 41 games at home (+17.25 Units / 42% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+15.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+15.05 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +130 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 -105 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bubba Thompson | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jonah Heim | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Josh H. Smith | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Rangers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Dunning | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -135 |
| Ross Stripling | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 94 games (+18.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 97 games (+12.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 17 games (+0.70 Units / 4% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 57-76 against the Run Line (-23.9 Units / -15% ROI).
- 74-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.15 Units / -9.36% ROI
- 67-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -1.68% ROI
- 63-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -7.7% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 73-60 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 3.86% ROI).
- 56-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -12.62% ROI
- 65-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 1.19% ROI
- 58-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -8.79% ROI
Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Ross Stripling this season is 380.2 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 398.2
Hitters have chased just 104 of Ross Stripling’s 520 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Ross Stripling has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (43/95) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 36% (147/411) against Ross Stripling this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.
Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (510/1,160) against Dane Dunning this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — third Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of .345 (606 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (115/202) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of .327 (300 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 10th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Blue Jays are 64-16 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Blue Jays are 57-2 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Blue Jays are 64-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Blue Jays are 38-31 (.551) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rangers are just 47-9 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Rangers are just 43-9 (.827) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Rangers are just 18-62 (.225) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Rangers are just 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 183 strikeouts in 998 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .452 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .660 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
Blue Jays hitters have just 513 strikeouts in 2,585 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,330 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .647 (3,673 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Rangers hitters are slugging .487 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 38% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 829 of 10,997 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 356 of 5,081 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1274.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 14 of 248 batters (6%) this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 117 of 1,211 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 58 of 487 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 493 of 5,192 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 12 of 105 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
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