Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 9

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 09, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Blue Jays (76-60) are -150 favorites vs the Rangers (59-77)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (7-4), 3.02 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning (3-8), 4.37 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Toronto Blue Jays (-150) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+125) on Friday, September 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Blue Jays vs Rangers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 74-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 73-60 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +110O 8 -110-150
Rangers +1.5 -135U 8 -110+125

Blue Jays vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s matchup with 55.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 51 of his last 92 games (+9.00 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 49 away games (+7.55 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.65 Units / 111% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 60 of his last 97 games (+21.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+21.50 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 41 games at home (+17.25 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+15.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 46 games (+15.05 Units / 17% ROI)

Rangers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Bubba Thompson 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Corey Seager 0.5 +275 0.5 -450
Jonah Heim 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000

Rangers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Bubba Thompson 0.5 -185 0.5 +130
Jonah Heim 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
Josh H. Smith 0.5 -140 0.5 -105
Kole Calhoun 0.5 -160 0.5 +110

Rangers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adolis Garcia 0.5 +130 0.5 -185
Bubba Thompson 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Corey Seager 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Jonah Heim 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Josh H. Smith 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Rangers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dane Dunning 3.5 -105 3.5 -135
Ross Stripling 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 56 of their last 94 games (+18.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.30 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 53 of their last 97 games (+12.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 17 games (+0.70 Units / 4% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 57-76 against the Run Line (-23.9 Units / -15% ROI).

  • 74-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.15 Units / -9.36% ROI
  • 67-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.45 Units / -1.68% ROI
  • 63-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -7.7% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 73-60 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 3.86% ROI).

  • 56-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -12.62% ROI
  • 65-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 1.19% ROI
  • 58-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.85 Units / -8.79% ROI

The average home run distance against Ross Stripling this season is 380.2 feet — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 398.2

Hitters have chased just 104 of Ross Stripling’s 520 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.

Ross Stripling has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (43/95) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 36% (147/411) against Ross Stripling this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 98th Percentile.

Dane Dunning: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (510/1,160) against Dane Dunning this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — third Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of .345 (606 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 57% (115/202) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 95th Percentile.

Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of .327 (300 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 10th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Blue Jays are 64-16 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Blue Jays are 57-2 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Blue Jays are 64-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Blue Jays are 38-31 (.551) on the road this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rangers are just 47-9 (.839) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Rangers are just 43-9 (.827) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Rangers are just 18-62 (.225) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Rangers are just 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .115.

Blue Jays hitters have just 183 strikeouts in 998 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .452 against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .660 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.

Blue Jays hitters have just 513 strikeouts in 2,585 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (3,330 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .647 (3,673 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Rangers hitters are slugging .487 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .351.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 38% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 829 of 10,997 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 356 of 5,081 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.72 (1274.1 IP) on the road since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.31.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 14 of 248 batters (6%) this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 117 of 1,211 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 58 of 487 batters (12%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 493 of 5,192 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 12 of 105 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rangers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Right Elbow, D60
  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.