Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 18

Tampa Bay Rays starting pitcher Shane McClanahan works against a San Diego Padres batter during the first inning of a baseball game Friday, June 16, 2023, in San Diego.
(AP Photo/Gregory Bull)
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  • The Rays are -140 favorites vs the Blue Jays
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The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-140) on August 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Blue Jays are 61-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 69-53 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Soriano 9-6, 3.22 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 12-3, 2.75 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -200O 7.5 -110+115
Rays -1.5 +165U 7.5 -110-140

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+15.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan Vilade has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+23.40 Units / 334% ROI)
  • Nick Martinez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+14.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Nick Martinez has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 50 games (+11.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 45 games (+9.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+6.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 65% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 63-62 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -2.91% ROI).

  • 61-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -7.52% ROI
  • 62-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -3.6% ROI
  • 61-62 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -4.88% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 69-53 against the Run Line (+24.8 Units / 16.71% ROI).

  • 75-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.95 Units / 10.66% ROI
  • 56-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.75 Units / -9.4% ROI
  • 63-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 0.76% ROI

Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Junior Caminero +350
Kazuma Okamoto +400
George Springer +475
Jesus Sanchez +525
Alejandro Kirk +550

Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yandy Diaz 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Nathan Lukes 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -235 0.5 +160
Junior Caminero 0.5 -220 0.5 +150

Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Kazuma Okamoto 0.5 -235 0.5 +160
Junior Caminero 0.5 -210 0.5 +140
Taylor Walls 0.5 -210 0.5 +140
Victor Mesa Jr. 0.5 -190 0.5 +130

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are 8-4 (.667) this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays were 15-51 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Blue Jays are 8-4 (.667) since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 7-1 (.875) after a win this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-3 (.700) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-1 (.875) after a win since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Rays are 7-3 (.700) since the 2025 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .333 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays have scored 158 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .625 (1,368 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 42% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

The Rays are batting .206 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

The Rays are batting .268 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .284 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,086 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,086 batted balls) this season — tied for best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 64% of their games at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.