- The Blue Jays (57-45) are -135 favorites vs the Rays (54-48)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (7-8), 3.29 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (6-3), 3.17 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays (-135) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+110) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 57-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 46-56 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | O 7 +100 | -135 |
| Rays | +1.5 -155 | U 7 -120 | +110 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 73.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 38 away games (+12.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 38 away games (+12.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 38 away games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 38 away games (+11.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games at home (+14.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.40 Units / 55% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.05 Units / 67% ROI)
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Peralta Over/Under Home Runs | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Luke Raley | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Peralta Over/Under Hits | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Luke Raley | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -135 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Lowe | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Peralta Over/Under Total Runs Batted In | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Luke Raley | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -450 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -145 |
| Gausman | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 42 of their last 60 games (+24.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 61 games (+13.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+3.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.10 Units / 53% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+7.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+7.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 32 games at home (+4.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 36 games at home (+3.65 Units / 8% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 46-56 against the Run Line (-15.3 Units / -12.2% ROI).
- 57-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -8.8% ROI
- 52-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.15 Units / -1.93% ROI
- 49-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -8.16% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 46-56 against the Run Line (-9.4 Units / -7.55% ROI).
- 54-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -6.49% ROI
- 48-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -4.88% ROI
- 50-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.3 Units / -2.88% ROI
Kevin Gausman: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has walked 4 of 186 left-handed batters (2%) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman’s K:BB ratio is 10.8 (43/4) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 2.9 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has a strike rate of 72% (502/701) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (358/873) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting .450 (9-for-20) against Drew Rasmussen — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .242 (24-for-99) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown fastballs up 82% of the time (127/154) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (287/592) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 34-21 (.618) at home this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Blue Jays are 45-1 (.978) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Blue Jays are just 2-36 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Blue Jays are 46-12 (.793) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are just 45-6 (.882) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Rays are 32-20 (.615) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Rays are 35-6 (.854) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rays are 10-8 (.556) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .266 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .455 since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .832 (3,461 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 754 strikeouts in 3,115 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .630 (1,149 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .681.
Rays hitters have grounded into 133 double plays in 1,773 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters have 331 strikeouts in 1,031 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 267 of 3,794 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 740 of 9,710 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 49 of 912 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 142 of 2,374 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 687 of 9,761 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 180 of 2,902 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Francisco Mejía (Rays): Shoulder, D10
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Matthew Wisler (Rays): Neck, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Alek Manoah (Blue Jays): Elbow, Day-to-Day
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
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