- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Rays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
- Rays starting pitcher: Trevor Kelley
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Monday, May 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 25-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 28-20 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -120 | -105 |
Rays | +1.5 -190 | U 9 +100 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+11.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+9.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in his last 8 games (+10.75 Units / 73% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 30 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Jose Siri | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
George Springer | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Jose Siri | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +110 |
George Springer | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Christian Bethancourt | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Jose Siri | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
George Springer | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Chris Bassitt | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+4.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 48 games (+15.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 48 games (+14.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 games (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games at home (+10.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 48 games (+9.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 23-24 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -4.22% ROI).
- 25-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -8.16% ROI
- 22-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.85 Units / -5.59% ROI
- 23-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -2.95% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 28-20 against the Run Line (+9.2 Units / 16.56% ROI).
- 34-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.75 Units / 19.31% ROI
- 27-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 12.82% ROI
- 18-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.95 Units / -22.74% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of just .215 (121 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .138 (15-for-109) against Chris Bassitt this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of just .408 (121 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .688 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .071 (7-for-98) against Chris Bassitt with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .167 — 98th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (5/34) against Trevor Kelley over the last 14 days (3 games) — 7th lowest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 27% — seventh Percentile.
Trevor Kelley has allowed a slugging percentage of .688 (11 Total Bases / 16 ABs) over the last 14 days (3 games) — 8th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .399 — ninth Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 71% of Trevor Kelley’s pitches (15/21) with two-strikes over the last 14 days (3 games) — 7th highest in AL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — 92nd Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 3-17 (.150) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Blue Jays are 44-66 (.400) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Blue Jays are 10-4 (.714) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Blue Jays are 13-13 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 21-4 (.840) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Rays are 8-9 (.471) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Rays are 7-5 (.583) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Rays are 34-14 (.708) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 316 strikeouts in 1,630 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Blue Jays hitters have 24 extra-base hits out of 90 total hits (just 27%) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .329 (6,395 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .578 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Rays hitters are slugging .509 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 84% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Rays hitters are slugging .500 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 15 of 112 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 582 of 7,876 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have won 88% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Rays pitchers have walked 534 of 7,688 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor Strain, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Rhomboid, D15
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
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