- The Rays are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
- Rays starting pitcher: Taj Bradley
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on Tuesday, May 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 25-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 29-20 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -105 | +105 |
| Rays | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -115 | -125 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 63.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+12.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 65% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 11 away games (+9.25 Units / 84% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+10.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Taylor Walls has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 30 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+9.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+8.85 Units / 49% ROI)
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Taj Bradley | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 away games (+3.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 away games (+2.25 Units / 15% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 49 games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 49 games (+15.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+11.95 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 49 games (+10.20 Units / 18% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 23-25 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -5.84% ROI).
- 25-23 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -9.71% ROI
- 23-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -3.56% ROI
- 23-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -5.03% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 29-20 against the Run Line (+10.2 Units / 17.82% ROI).
- 35-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.75 Units / 20.29% ROI
- 28-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.8 Units / 14.42% ROI
- 18-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.1 Units / -24.39% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .290 (9-for-31) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 14th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of just 5% (3 SO in 56 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (123/219) this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 12th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 19% of the time (38/198) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Taj Bradley has a strikeout rate of 34% (27 SO in 80 PAs) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Taj Bradley has allowed an OBP of just .250 (80 PA’s) this season — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .317 — 93rd Percentile.
Taj Bradley has thrown fastballs up 63% of the time (98/155) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .150 (3-for-20) against Taj Bradley’s elevated fastball this season — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 89th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Blue Jays are 52-36 (.591) after a loss since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Blue Jays are 44-67 (.396) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Blue Jays are just 20-2 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 8-5 (.615) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Rays are 22-4 (.846) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Rays are 2-12 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Rays are 24-8 (.750) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .515.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Blue Jays are batting .259 with two outs since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Blue Jays hitters have just 68 strikeouts in 399 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters are slugging .578 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .945 (330 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Rays hitters are slugging .544 with bases empty this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .848 (1,876 PA’s) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 17 of 120 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have won 88% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .178 against Rays pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Drew Rasmussen (Rays): Flexor Strain, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Garrett Cleavinger (Rays): Knee, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Rhomboid, D15
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
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