• The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: RATV | RSN1

The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on May 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Blue Jays are 16-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 20-13 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Eric Lauer 1-3, 6.01 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Nick Martinez 2-1, 1.70 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+20.50 Units / 205% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 41% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.60 Units / 127% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.50 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+9.70 Units / 97% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 20 games at home (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
• Junior Caminero has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.20 Units / 24% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 away games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.20 Units / 19% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.75 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games (+11.20 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+9.15 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 92% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 games at home (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 14-20 against the Run Line (-6.5 Units / -15.97% ROI).

• 16-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -18.78% ROI
• 17-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -1.59% ROI
• 16-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -6.59% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 20-13 against the Run Line (+7.85 Units / 18.3% ROI).

• 21-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.2 Units / 24.05% ROI
• 16-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -1.8% ROI
• 15-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -8.09% ROI

Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are 15-68 (.181) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Blue Jays are 82-6 (.932) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Blue Jays are 18-65 (.217) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Blue Jays are 35-3 (.921) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 15-5 (.750) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Rays are 16-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Rays are 4-10 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .145.

The Rays are 18-1 (.947) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .295 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Blue Jays pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have 306 three-pitch strikeouts since the 2025 season — tied for 4th most in MLB.

Rays pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .275 (298 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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