• The Rays are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Rays Over / Under today: 7 Runs
• Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: RATV | RSN1

The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-125) on May 5, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Blue Jays are 16-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 21-13 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 2-2, 3.05 ERA
• Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen 2-1, 2.62 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Rays and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+16.10 Units / 179% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 38% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
• Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 8 away games (+7.60 Units / 95% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Drew Rasmussen has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.15 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 53% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• Jonathan Aranda has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
• Nick Fortes has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.55 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 50 away games (+5.25 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.20 Units / 12% ROI)

Rays Best Bets Today:

• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+12.90 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+12.75 Units / 49% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+10.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in their last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 92% ROI)
• The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+6.90 Units / 23% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 14-21 against the Run Line (-8.5 Units / -19.91% ROI).

• 16-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -20.45% ROI
• 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -4.39% ROI
• 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -3.79% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 21-13 against the Run Line (+9.55 Units / 21.75% ROI).

• 22-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.2 Units / 25.79% ROI
• 16-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -4.7% ROI
• 16-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -5.19% ROI

Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are 15-69 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Blue Jays are 7-73 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Blue Jays are 18-66 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Blue Jays are 82-6 (.932) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 19-1 (.950) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Rays are 17-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rays are 12-4 (.750) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Rays are 4-10 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting .183 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays Hitting Stats & Trends

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .299 with runners on base since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Blue Jays pitchers over the past seven days (7 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Rays Pitching Stats & Trends

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have 308 three-pitch strikeouts since the 2025 season — 5th most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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