Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 6

Tampa Bay Rays' Junior Caminero reacts after hitting a home run during the fourth inning of a baseball game against the New York Mets Saturday, June 14, 2025, in New York.
(AP Photo/Pamela Smith)
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  • The Rays are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
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The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-135) on May 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Blue Jays are 16-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 21-14 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 1-0, 3.65 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan 3-2, 3.14 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -200O 7.5 -102+110
Rays -1.5 +165U 7.5 -118-135

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 away games (+20.40 Units / 204% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.10 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+12.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+8.30 Units / 208% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 away games (+7.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 50 away games (+4.25 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.20 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 23 games (+13.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+11.90 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 50 games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 15-21 against the Run Line (-7.5 Units / -16.74% ROI).

  • 16-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.9 Units / -22.06% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.7 Units / -4.28% ROI
  • 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -3.68% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 21-14 against the Run Line (+8.55 Units / 19.04% ROI).

  • 23-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 27.45% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -4.58% ROI
  • 16-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -5.03% ROI

Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Kazuma Okamoto +310
Junior Caminero +310
George Springer +400
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. +500
Yandy Diaz +525

Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Junior Caminero 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Ernie Clement 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
George Springer 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Jonny Deluca 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Lenyn Sosa 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Taylor Walls 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Ryan Vilade 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Junior Caminero 0.5 -130 0.5 -105

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are 18-66 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

The Blue Jays are 15-69 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Blue Jays are 7-74 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Blue Jays are 82-6 (.932) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 20-1 (.952) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Rays are 17-5 (.773) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Rays are 11-2 (.846) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Blue Jays (20th in runs scored).

The Rays are 12-78 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .184 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have 56 extra-base hits out of 216 total hits (just 26%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters are slugging .299 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB.

Rays hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have struck out 26% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB.

Rays pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have an ERA of 2.74 (46.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.