- The Rays (83-67) are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays (84-66)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-6), 5.05 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (9-4), 2.44 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 83-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 71-75 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -120 | +120 |
| Rays | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 +100 | -145 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 59 of his last 106 games (+11.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 55 away games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 29 games at home (+20.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 32 games at home (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jonathan Aranda | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Manuel Margot | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Harold Ramirez | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Jonathan Aranda | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 -105 |
| Manuel Margot | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jonathan Aranda | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Siri | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Manuel Margot | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jeffrey Springs | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -135 |
| Mitch White | 2.5 -185 | 2.5 +130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 62 games at home (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+0.75 Units / 3% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 64-84 against the Run Line (-24.25 Units / -13.77% ROI).
- 83-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.8 Units / -8.37% ROI
- 75-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -1.35% ROI
- 70-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.35 Units / -8.08% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 71-75 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -2.58% ROI).
- 82-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -1.55% ROI
- 66-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -7.41% ROI
- 73-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.48% ROI
Mitchell White: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (10/75) against Mitch White this month (2 games) — 11th lowest among among 257 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.
Mitch White has walked 2 of 97 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters swung at 84% of Mitch White’s pitches (21/25) with two-strikes — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Mitch White has struck out just 6% (1/18) of left-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (31/99) against Jeffrey Springs on pitches in the strike zone this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (640/1,487) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (842/1,979) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (17/56) against Jeffrey Springs this month (4 games) — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 70-19 (.787) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Blue Jays are 41-34 (.547) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Blue Jays are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Blue Jays are 171-46 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 38-11 (.776) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
The Rays are just 70-10 (.875) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rays are 50-28 (.641) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Rays are 24-105 (.186) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .126.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .262 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .777 (9,029 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .765 (6,018 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,812 strikeouts in 9,029 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put 49% of their swings in play against LHP this month (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Rays are batting .304 against LHP this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Rays hitters have just 15 strikeouts in 114 PA’s (13%) against LHP this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays hitters have grounded into 159 double plays in 2,120 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 393 of 5,622 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 866 of 11,538 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 7 of 187 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 787 of 11,500 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 161 of 2,803 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 68 of 1,341 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays pitchers have walked 199 of 3,331 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Yarbrough (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Yandy Díaz (Rays): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Foot, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Oblique, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
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