Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 23

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 23, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Rays (83-67) are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays (84-66)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-6), 5.05 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs (9-4), 2.44 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 83-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 71-75 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -175O 7.5 -120+120
Rays -1.5 +145U 7.5 +100-145

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 59 of his last 106 games (+11.20 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 55 away games (+9.40 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.35 Units / 36% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 29 games at home (+20.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 32 games at home (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.05 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)

Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Jose Siri 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Manuel Margot 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Harold Ramirez 1.5 +180 1.5 -275
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Jose Siri 0.5 -135 0.5 -105
Manuel Margot 0.5 -250 0.5 +165

Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Jonathan Aranda 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Jose Siri 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Manuel Margot 0.5 +165 0.5 -250

Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jeffrey Springs 5.5 -105 5.5 -135
Mitch White 2.5 -185 2.5 +130
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+4.90 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.95 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.75 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 62 games at home (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+6.30 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.75 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 games (+0.75 Units / 3% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 64-84 against the Run Line (-24.25 Units / -13.77% ROI).

  • 83-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.8 Units / -8.37% ROI
  • 75-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -1.35% ROI
  • 70-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.35 Units / -8.08% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 71-75 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -2.58% ROI).

  • 82-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -1.55% ROI
  • 66-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -7.41% ROI
  • 73-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -0.48% ROI

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (10/75) against Mitch White this month (2 games) — 11th lowest among among 257 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — fourth Percentile.

Mitch White has walked 2 of 97 batters (2%) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Hitters swung at 84% of Mitch White’s pitches (21/25) with two-strikes — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.

Mitch White has struck out just 6% (1/18) of left-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (31/99) against Jeffrey Springs on pitches in the strike zone this month (4 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 43% of the time (640/1,487) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total CH; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.

Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (842/1,979) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (17/56) against Jeffrey Springs this month (4 games) — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — seventh Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are 70-19 (.787) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Blue Jays are 41-34 (.547) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

The Blue Jays are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Blue Jays are 171-46 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 38-11 (.776) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Rays are just 70-10 (.875) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rays are 50-28 (.641) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Rays are 24-105 (.186) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .126.

The Blue Jays are batting .262 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .777 (9,029 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .765 (6,018 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,812 strikeouts in 9,029 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rays hitters have put 49% of their swings in play against LHP this month (11 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Rays are batting .304 against LHP this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.

Rays hitters have just 15 strikeouts in 114 PA’s (13%) against LHP this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rays hitters have grounded into 159 double plays in 2,120 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 393 of 5,622 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 866 of 11,538 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 7 of 187 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 787 of 11,500 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 161 of 2,803 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 68 of 1,341 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays pitchers have walked 199 of 3,331 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Ryan Yarbrough (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Yandy Díaz (Rays): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Foot, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
  • Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Oblique, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.