Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 24

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 24, 2022, 11:03 AM
  • The Rays (84-67) are -115 underdogs vs the Blue Jays (84-67)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (14-7), 2.40 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (10-6), 2.91 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSUN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5

The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 83-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 72-75 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5O 6.5 -105-105
Rays +1.5U 6.5 -115-115

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 56 away games (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 59 of his last 107 games (+10.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+11.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)

Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Peralta 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Peralta 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Francisco Mejia 0.5 -175 0.5 +120
Harold Ramirez 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Isaac Paredes 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 -115 0.5 -120

Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
David Peralta 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Francisco Mejia 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Harold Ramirez 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Isaac Paredes 0.5 +240 0.5 -375
Ji-Man Choi 0.5 +240 0.5 -375

Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Rasmussen 4.5 -105 4.5 -140
Alek Manoah 4.5 -165 4.5 +120
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 56 away games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+3.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.70 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 63 games at home (+8.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.90 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+1.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 64-85 against the Run Line (-25.9 Units / -14.57% ROI).

  • 83-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.8 Units / -8.73% ROI
  • 76-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 70-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.55 Units / -8.74% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 72-75 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -1.74% ROI).

  • 83-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -1.07% ROI
  • 67-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -6.75% ROI
  • 73-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -1.19% ROI

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .218 (331 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .242 (22-for-91) against Alek Manoah on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .160 (81-for-505) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .253 (128 Total Bases / 505 ABs) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Drew Rasmussen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 88% (42/48) of opposing batters this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .635 (81 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 1.031 — 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .268 (94-for-351) against Drew Rasmussen in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .216 (16-for-74) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 99th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are 70-19 (.787) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

The Blue Jays are 171-46 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Blue Jays are 172-11 (.940) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Blue Jays are 41-35 (.539) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 51-28 (.646) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Rays are 39-11 (.780) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.

The Rays are 52-8 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Rays are 35-8 (.814) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .665.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .662 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

The Blue Jays are batting .371 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.

The Blue Jays are batting .262 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters have just 231 strikeouts in 1,182 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Rays hitters have put 48% of their swings in play against LHP this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Rays hitters have just 16 strikeouts in 117 PA’s (14%) against LHP this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Rays have scored 1.54 runs per game (477/310) in late innings since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.

Rays hitters have an OPS of .720 (3,652 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 872 of 11,578 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 399 of 5,662 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Blue Jays have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rays pitchers have walked 163 of 2,812 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 201 of 3,340 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 792 of 11,540 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 70 of 1,350 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Ryan Yarbrough (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Yandy Díaz (Rays): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Taylor Walls (Rays): Groin, Day-to-Day
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Foot, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
  • Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Oblique, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.