- The Rays (84-67) are -115 underdogs vs the Blue Jays (84-67)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (14-7), 2.40 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (10-6), 2.91 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Saturday, September 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 6:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5
The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 83-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 72-75 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 | O 6.5 -105 | -105 |
| Rays | +1.5 | U 6.5 -115 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.55 Units / 59% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 56 away games (+10.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 59 of his last 107 games (+10.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+12.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+11.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peralta | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peralta | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 -115 | 0.5 -120 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peralta | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Francisco Mejia | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Harold Ramirez | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Isaac Paredes | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Ji-Man Choi | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Alek Manoah | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +120 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 30 of their last 56 away games (+6.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+3.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 away games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+0.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 63 games at home (+8.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 21 games (+2.90 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+1.75 Units / 6% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 64-85 against the Run Line (-25.9 Units / -14.57% ROI).
- 83-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.8 Units / -8.73% ROI
- 76-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -0.73% ROI
- 70-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.55 Units / -8.74% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 72-75 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -1.74% ROI).
- 83-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.25 Units / -1.07% ROI
- 67-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -6.75% ROI
- 73-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -2 Units / -1.19% ROI
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .218 (331 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .242 (22-for-91) against Alek Manoah on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .160 (81-for-505) against Alek Manoah since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .253 (128 Total Bases / 505 ABs) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 88% (42/48) of opposing batters this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .635 (81 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 1.031 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .268 (94-for-351) against Drew Rasmussen in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .216 (16-for-74) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 99th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are 70-19 (.787) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Blue Jays are 171-46 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2020 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Blue Jays are 172-11 (.940) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Blue Jays are 41-35 (.539) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 51-28 (.646) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Rays are 39-11 (.780) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Rays are 52-8 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Rays are 35-8 (.814) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .665.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .662 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.
The Blue Jays are batting .371 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Blue Jays are batting .262 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays hitters have just 231 strikeouts in 1,182 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have put 48% of their swings in play against LHP this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Rays hitters have just 16 strikeouts in 117 PA’s (14%) against LHP this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Rays have scored 1.54 runs per game (477/310) in late innings since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Rays hitters have an OPS of .720 (3,652 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 872 of 11,578 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 399 of 5,662 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Blue Jays have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 163 of 2,812 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 201 of 3,340 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 792 of 11,540 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 70 of 1,350 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D60
- Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
- Shane McClanahan (Rays): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Ryan Yarbrough (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Yandy Díaz (Rays): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Taylor Walls (Rays): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Foot, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Oblique, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
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