Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 25

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 25, 2022, 11:40 AM
  • The Rays (84-68) are -145 favorites vs the Blue Jays (85-67)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (8-4), 3.21 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan (12-6), 2.36 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-145) on Sunday, September 25, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at 1.5.

The Blue Jays vs Rays Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 85-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 75-76 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5O 6.5 -105+120
Rays 1.5U 6.5 -115-145

Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 57.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 19 games (+11.55 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Kevin Gausman has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 57 away games (+9.40 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Alek Manoah has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 away games (+9.35 Units / 38% ROI)

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • David Peralta has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games at home (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+12.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.25 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jeffrey Springs has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.05 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Manuel Margot has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.80 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 60 games at home (+14.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games at home (+7.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+7.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 60 games at home (+4.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.40 Units / 28% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 65-86 against the Run Line (-25.9 Units / -14.39% ROI).

  • 85-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.2 Units / -7.63% ROI
  • 76-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -2.04% ROI
  • 72-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -7.44% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 75-76 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.3% ROI).

  • 84-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -1.07% ROI
  • 67-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -8.06% ROI
  • 75-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

The average home run distance against Ross Stripling this season is 382.1 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 398.0

Ross Stripling has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (346/494) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.

Ross Stripling has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to September 4th — Nick Lodolo has the longest active streak at 6.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (18/65) against Ross Stripling this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.

Shane McClanahan: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .188 (105-for-559) against Shane McClanahan this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 97th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has allowed an OPS of just .320 (349 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .462 — 100th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .065 (31 PA’s) in late innings this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 100th Percentile.

Shane McClanahan has allowed an OBP of just .239 (598 PA’s) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 97th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Blue Jays are 72-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Blue Jays are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .882.

The Blue Jays are 42-35 (.545) on the road this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Blue Jays are 15-13 (.536) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Rays are 52-8 (.867) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

The Rays are just 70-10 (.875) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Rays are 35-8 (.814) when scoring in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Rays are 17-114 (.130) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Blue Jays are batting .262 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .662 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .571.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .364 (622 PA’s) against RHP this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Blue Jays hitters have put 43% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Rays hitters have put 48% of their swings in play against LHP this month (12 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Rays hitters have just 16 strikeouts in 117 PA’s (14%) against LHP this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rays hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Rays hitters have an OBP of just .310 (1,371 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 872 of 11,578 batters (7%) since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 8 of 195 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (22 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 399 of 5,662 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rays pitchers have walked 792 of 11,540 batters (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 356 of 5,542 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 163 of 2,812 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 70 of 1,350 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Rays vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ryan Thompson (Rays): Triceps, D60
  • Brandon Lowe (Rays): Back, D10
  • Shane McClanahan (Rays): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Ryan Yarbrough (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Yandy Díaz (Rays): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Roman Quinn (Rays): Knee, D10
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Taylor Walls (Rays): Groin, Day-to-Day
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Foot, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
  • Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Oblique, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rays vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.