Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 24

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 24, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Blue Jays (66-55) are -155 favorites vs the Red Sox (60-63)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (9-5), 5.38 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello (0-3), 8.47 ERA
  • Watch the game on NESN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-155) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+125) on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 64-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 60-60 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +100O 9.5 -115-155
Red Sox +1.5 -120U 9.5 -105+125

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 52.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 51 away games (+14.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 46 of his last 77 games (+14.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 51 away games (+13.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.30 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+12.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+11.20 Units / 160% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 55 games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Franchy Cordero 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Jarren Duran 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Franchy Cordero 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
J.D. Martinez 0.5 -300 0.5 +195
Jarren Duran 0.5 -160 0.5 +115

Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Enrique Hernandez 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Franchy Cordero 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +165 0.5 -250
Jarren Duran 0.5 +260 0.5 -400

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brayan Bello 3.5 +100 3.5 -140
Jose Berrios 4.5 -140 4.5 +100
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 79 games (+22.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.85 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 103 games (+5.15 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 47 games at home (+1.45 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 21% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 51-67 against the Run Line (-20.5 Units / -14.35% ROI).

  • 64-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.8 Units / -10.98% ROI
  • 60-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.25% ROI
  • 57-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.95 Units / -7.6% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 60-60 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -1.1% ROI).

  • 58-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -7.2% ROI
  • 53-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -6.77% ROI
  • 57-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.49% ROI

Opponents are hitting .365 (42-for-115) against Jose Berrios on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — second Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .660 (64 Total Bases / 97 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (31/168) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.

Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .413 (119 Total Bases / 288 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .277 — first Percentile.

Brayan Bello: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brayan Bello has limited playing time.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are 57-3 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Blue Jays are 36-25 (.590) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Blue Jays are 52-2 (.963) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Blue Jays are 55-15 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 2-49 (.039) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Red Sox are just 6-26 (.188) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Red Sox are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 144-20 (.878) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,470 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .778 (8,165 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

The Blue Jays are batting .196 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.

The Red Sox are batting .273 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Red Sox are batting .262 against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Red Sox are batting .263 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Red Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 793 of 10,420 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 3 of 106 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.46 (433.1 IP) against division opponents this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.71 (547.0 IP) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.

Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Pham (Red Sox): Back, Day-to-Day
  • Xander Bogaerts (Red Sox): Back, Day-to-Day
  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D60
  • Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Eric Hosmer (Red Sox): Back, D10
  • Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
  • Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Blue Jays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.