- The Blue Jays (66-55) are -155 favorites vs the Red Sox (60-63)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos (9-5), 5.38 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello (0-3), 8.47 ERA
- Watch the game on NESN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-155) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+125) on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 64-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 60-60 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +100 | O 9.5 -115 | -155 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -120 | U 9.5 -105 | +125 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 52.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 51 away games (+14.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 46 of his last 77 games (+14.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 51 away games (+13.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+14.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Christian Arroyo has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+12.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+11.20 Units / 160% ROI)
- Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 55 games (+11.10 Units / 10% ROI)
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 -300 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Enrique Hernandez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jarren Duran | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brayan Bello | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -140 |
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +100 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 79 games (+22.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.85 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 103 games (+5.15 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 47 games at home (+1.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 51-67 against the Run Line (-20.5 Units / -14.35% ROI).
- 64-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.8 Units / -10.98% ROI
- 60-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.25% ROI
- 57-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.95 Units / -7.6% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 60-60 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -1.1% ROI).
- 58-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.65 Units / -7.2% ROI
- 53-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.95 Units / -6.77% ROI
- 57-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -0.49% ROI
José Berríos: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .365 (42-for-115) against Jose Berrios on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .254 — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .660 (64 Total Bases / 97 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .370 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (31/168) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fifth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .413 (119 Total Bases / 288 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .277 — first Percentile.
Brayan Bello: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brayan Bello has limited playing time.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 57-3 (.950) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Blue Jays are 36-25 (.590) at home this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Blue Jays are 52-2 (.963) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .886.
The Blue Jays are 55-15 (.786) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 2-49 (.039) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Red Sox are just 6-26 (.188) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Red Sox are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Red Sox are just 144-20 (.878) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .783 (2,470 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .778 (8,165 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Blue Jays are batting .196 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .273 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .262 against LHP this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Red Sox are batting .263 against LHP since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters have pulled just 41% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 25% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 793 of 10,420 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 3 of 106 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (12 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 5.46 (433.1 IP) against division opponents this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.02.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 4.71 (547.0 IP) at home this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.82.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Pham (Red Sox): Back, Day-to-Day
- Xander Bogaerts (Red Sox): Back, Day-to-Day
- James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Finger, D60
- Tanner Houck (Red Sox): Back, D15
- Eric Hosmer (Red Sox): Back, D10
- Trevor Story (Red Sox): Hand, D10
- Tyler Danish (Red Sox): Elbow, D15
- Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
- Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
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