Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 24

Boston Red Sox's Masataka Yoshida bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Minnesota Twins, Tuesday, June 20, 2023, in Minneapolis.
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
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  • The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: TVA | ATV

The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on July 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 47-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 48-49 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 4-5, 3.80 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Patrick Sandoval 0-0, 5.00 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -200O 8.5 +100+110
Red Sox -1.5 +165U 8.5 -130-135

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+12.10 Units / 151% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.20 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+12.00 Units / 200% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 away games (+5.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 away games (+4.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games (+16.50 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 25 games (+15.60 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+15.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+13.90 Units / 50% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 48-54 against the Run Line (-10.35 Units / -7.74% ROI).

  • 47-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.2 Units / -15.59% ROI
  • 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.4% ROI
  • 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -7.72% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 48-49 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.08% ROI).

  • 52-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.3 Units / -5.84% ROI
  • 45-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.8 Units / -11.46% ROI
  • 52-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 2.17% ROI

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Willson Contreras +333
Kazuma Okamoto +340
Wilyer Abreu +390
George Springer +525
Ceddanne Rafaela +575

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Kazuma Okamoto 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Willson Contreras 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
George Springer 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Anthony Seigler 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Tsung-Che Cheng 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are just 5-38 (.116) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Blue Jays are just 9-26 (.257) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Blue Jays are just 9-26 (.257) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Blue Jays are just 5-38 (.116) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 16-20 (.444) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Blue Jays (18th runs allowed).

The Red Sox are 48-1 (.980) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Red Sox are just 1-44 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .469 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .190 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays have scored 120 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .299 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OBP of .338 (1,003 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .179 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .518 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .254 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,503 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (2,503 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 172 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (433.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 9% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.