• The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RSN | TVA

The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-110) on July 25, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 47-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 49-49 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 6-5, 2.69 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 12-1, 2.50 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+14.75 Units / 211% ROI)
• Nathan Lukes has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.60 Units / 24% ROI)
• Yohendrick Pinango has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• Dylan Cease has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 34% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.30 Units / 283% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 41% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 36% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.85 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.40 Units / 87% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 away games (+4.65 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 away games (+3.40 Units / 13% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 24 games (+17.50 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 30 games (+17.45 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 30 games (+16.25 Units / 46% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 24 games (+15.55 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 52% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 48-55 against the Run Line (-12.25 Units / -9.03% ROI).

• 47-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.2 Units / -16.23% ROI
• 53-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 0.48% ROI
• 48-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.75 Units / -8.53% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 49-49 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 1.21% ROI).

• 53-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -4.99% ROI
• 46-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -10.45% ROI
• 52-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.4 Units / 1.25% ROI

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are just 5-39 (.114) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Blue Jays are just 9-27 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Blue Jays are just 5-39 (.114) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are 49-1 (.980) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Red Sox are just 1-44 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.

The Red Sox are just 5-27 (.156) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays have scored 120 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .215 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .190 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting just .302 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging .257 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .772 (1,009 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .381 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,526 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (2,526 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have won only 20% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Blue Jays won just 15% of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 11% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 3.56 runs per game (178/50) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.56 (904.1 IP) this season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.