• The Red Sox are -140 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RSN | TVA

The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-140) on July 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 48-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 49-50 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 4-9, 4.48 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 4-3, 3.19 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+16.40 Units / 164% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 37% ROI)
• Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+10.45 Units / 52% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+7.85 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.25 Units / 34% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 44% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.30 Units / 283% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.10 Units / 19% ROI)
• Andruw Monasterio has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.65 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 away games (+5.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 away games (+5.30 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 away games (+4.40 Units / 16% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 25 games (+16.40 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+15.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 30 games (+13.75 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+13.60 Units / 45% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 49-55 against the Run Line (-10.6 Units / -7.76% ROI).

• 48-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.2 Units / -15.34% ROI
• 53-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.48% ROI
• 49-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.75 Units / -7.58% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 49-50 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.31% ROI).

• 53-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -5.81% ROI
• 46-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.9 Units / -11.32% ROI
• 53-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 2.13% ROI

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are just 9-27 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .370.

The Blue Jays are just 5-39 (.114) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Blue Jays were 12-53 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 5-28 (.152) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Red Sox are just 2-7 (.222) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are 49-1 (.980) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Red Sox are just 16-20 (.444) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face the Blue Jays (18th runs allowed).

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays have scored 125 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .191 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have 198 extra-base hits out of 650 total hits (just 30%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

Red Sox hitters are slugging .256 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .683 (2,839 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have 89 extra-base hits out of 229 total hits (39%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .435 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (2,541 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 51% of their games on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 179 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (2,541 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Red Sox won just 11% of the time this season — lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 3.56 runs per game (178/50) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (433.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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