• The Blue Jays are +105 favorites vs the Red Sox
• Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
• Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-125) on June 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Blue Jays are 36-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 29-40 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 3-3, 3.78 ERA
• Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 8-1, 3.07 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+7.10 Units / 79% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.15 Units / 24% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+5.40 Units / 90% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Masataka Yoshida has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 44% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.90 Units / 198% ROI)
• Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.70 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.35 Units / 89% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+4.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Red Sox Best Bets Today:

• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+14.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+7.15 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 45 games (+0.75 Units / 1% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 37-36 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -1.31% ROI).

• 36-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.3 Units / -9.84% ROI
• 36-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -2.77% ROI
• 35-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -5.51% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 29-40 against the Run Line (-11.85 Units / -13.25% ROI).

• 29-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.45 Units / -24.77% ROI
• 32-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.75 Units / -9.93% ROI
• 36-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.57% ROI

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Blue Jays are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Blue Jays are 20-79 (.202) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Blue Jays are 17-82 (.172) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Blue Jays are 74-54 (.578) after a win since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .516.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Red Sox are just 2-23 (.080) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Red Sox are just 4-25 (.138) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

The Red Sox are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are just 1-36 (.027) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays are batting just .217 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .469 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .191 with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .296 (774 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends

The Red Sox are batting .267 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .381 this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .489 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox are batting .184 with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.7 MPH this season (1,772 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (1,772 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have 129 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 658 times this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends

Red Sox pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 0.90 runs per game (64/71) in late innings this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers are throwing just 3.81 pitches per plate appearance this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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