- The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: RSN | TVA | NESN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-118) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-102) on Sunday, June 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Boston, MA, MA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 44-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 41-42 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Eric Lauer 4-1, 2.22 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 5-5, 6.32 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +140 | O 10 -118 | -118 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -170 | U 10 -102 | -102 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+14.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+22.00 Units / 275% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.55 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 81 games (+14.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.44 Units / 13% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 74 games (+9.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games (+8.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+6.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.80 Units / 73% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 49-32 against the Run Line (+13.55 Units / 11.78% ROI).
- 44-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.24 Units / 3.29% ROI
- 44-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.9 Units / 6.54% ROI
- 35-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -13 Units / -14.4% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 41-42 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -1.18% ROI).
- 41-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.26 Units / -9.42% ROI
- 39-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.52 Units / -10.27% ROI
- 44-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.2 Units / 1.3% ROI
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Romy Gonzalez (BOS) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nathan Lukes (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Carlos Narvaez (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Lauer (TOR) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Walker Buehler (BOS) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
78% of Eric Lauer’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .188 (27-for-144) against Eric Lauer this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 96th Percentile.
Eric Lauer has allowed a BABIP of .224 this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .288 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 12% (5/43) against Eric Lauer’s breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Walker Buehler has allowed an OBP of .332 (328 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed an OBP of .639 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 0 Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed an OBP of .467 (90 PA’s) this month (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .311 — 0 Percentile.
Walker Buehler has walked 22% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are just 100-9 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Blue Jays are 3-31 (.088) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .042.
The Blue Jays are 31-3 (.912) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 7-86 (.075) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .138.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are just 51-171 (.230) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Red Sox are just 4-176 (.022) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .280 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .274 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Red Sox are batting .269 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Red Sox hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Blue Jays pitchers this month (24 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 12% of batters over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 13% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 11% of batters this month (24 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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