- The Blue Jays are -115 favorites vs the Reds
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Hyun Jin Ryu
- Reds starting pitcher: Christian Greene
- Watch the game on BSOH
The Toronto Blue Jays (-115) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-105) on Sunday, August 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Blue Jays vs Reds Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 68-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 77-47 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +140 | O 11 -200 | -115 |
| Reds | +1.5 -165 | U 11 +165 | -105 |
Blue Jays vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 52.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 35 games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.20 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+20.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+16.05 Units / 54% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 21 games at home (+8.85 Units / 36% ROI)
Reds vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Reds vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joey Votto | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Reds vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Hunter Greene | 6.5 -140 | 6.5 +105 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 61 of their last 99 games (+20.04 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+6.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 33 games (+5.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+4.84 Units / 12% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 123 games (+26.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 93 games (+25.34 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 93 games (+14.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games at home (+12.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+7.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 58-66 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -6.01% ROI).
- 68-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.15 Units / -4.66% ROI
- 49-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.15 Units / -19.42% ROI
- 69-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.95 Units / 10.98% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 77-47 against the Run Line (+25 Units / 15.44% ROI).
- 64-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.7 Units / 10.15% ROI
- 61-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.95 Units / -4.43% ROI
- 61-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -4.25% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hyun Jin Ryu has pitched 9.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Josh Hader has the longest active streak at 21.1.
Hyun Jin Ryu has walked 45 of 869 batters (5%) since the 2021 season — tied for 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 92nd Percentile.
Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed three-ball counts to 1% of batters they faced (10/689 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Hyun Jin Ryu has averaged 79.8 MPH on changeups since the 2021 season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 177 total IP; League Avg: 85.2 — sixth Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (149/423) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 113 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has averaged 98.8 MPH on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 31% (105/343) against Dakota Hudson with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 0 Percentile.
Hunter Greene has struck out 35% (149/423) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 178 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are just 5-38 (.116) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Blue Jays are 63-25 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Blue Jays are 31-42 (.425) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Reds are 22-39 (.361) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Reds are just 13-19 (.406) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are just 37-41 (.474) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .640.
The Reds are just 41-31 (.569) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have just 449 strikeouts in 2,292 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have just 199 strikeouts in 1,039 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have an OPS of just .666 (3,363 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .695.
The Reds batted just .298 on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Reds are batting just .321 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Reds hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,371 PA’s) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds pitchers have won 51% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Reds pitchers have walked 233 of 2,535 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Stuart Fairchild (Reds): Concussion, Day-to-Day
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Curtis Casali (Reds): Foot, D10
- Nicholas Lodolo (Reds): Calf, D60
- Kevin Newman (Reds): Oblique, D10
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Toe, D10
- Edward Lively (Reds): Pectoral, D15
- Jonathan India (Reds): Heel, D10
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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