- The Blue Jays are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Hyun Jin Ryu
- Rockies starting pitcher: Christoper Flexen
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Toronto Blue Jays (-200) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+165) on Friday, September 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Blue Jays vs Rockies Over/Under is 12.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 73-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 63-68 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 +105 | O 12.5 -115 | -200 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -125 | U 12.5 -105 | +165 |
Blue Jays vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 78.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+7.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.70 Units / 128% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games at home (+17.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 22 games at home (+16.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Rockies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Rockies vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Daulton Varsho | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
Rockies vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hyun-Jin Ryu | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Chris Flexen | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 109 games (+17.64 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.32 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 away games (+4.47 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.04 Units / 22% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games at home (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 42 games (+14.53 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games (+10.32 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 46% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 63-71 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -5.35% ROI).
- 73-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.25 Units / -5.87% ROI
- 55-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.25 Units / -16.71% ROI
- 73-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.15 Units / 8.23% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 63-68 against the Run Line (-7.05 Units / -4.69% ROI).
- 48-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -12.75% ROI
- 57-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.15 Units / -15.37% ROI
- 72-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.35 Units / 7.28% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hyun Jin Ryu has allowed an OBP of just .192 (73 PA’s) over the last 30 days (4 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .314 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .145 (10-for-69) against Hyun Jin Ryu over the last 30 days (4 games) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 99th Percentile.
Hyun Jin Ryu has an average fastball velocity of just 89.7 MPH since the 2021 season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — sixth Percentile.
Hitters have chased 228 of Hyun Jin Ryu’s 504 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 45%) since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen has allowed an OPS of .931 (335 PA’s) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .739 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .341 (31-for-91) against Chris Flexen versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .300 (48-for-160) against Chris Flexen’s low curves and sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .192 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .548 (165 Total Bases / 301 ABs) this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: .424 — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Blue Jays are 65-97 (.401) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Blue Jays are 31-46 (.403) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rockies are just 33-17 (.660) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 12-10 (.545) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Rockies are just 37-11 (.771) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Rockies are just 35-21 (.625) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Blue Jays hitters have just 463 strikeouts in 2,386 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .347 (1,133 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Blue Jays are batting .267 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (5,558 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Rockies have won just 49% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.2.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have 250 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most in MLB.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Gomber (Rockies): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Robert Anderson (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Erik Swanson (Blue Jays): Spine, D15
- Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Quad, D10
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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