- The Blue Jays are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Rockies starting pitcher: Tyson Blach
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Toronto Blue Jays (-200) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+165) on Saturday, September 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Blue Jays vs Rockies Over/Under is 12 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 0-0 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 +105 | O 12 -115 | -200 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -130 | U 12 -105 | +165 |
Blue Jays vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 78.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+8.90 Units / 127% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+8.50 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 23 games at home (+17.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+16.05 Units / 70% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games at home (+12.30 Units / 51% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+10.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Rockies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rockies vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
| Hunter Goodman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Rockies vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ryan McMahon | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elehuris Montero | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Elias Diaz | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Rockies vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ty Blach | 2.5 +100 | 2.5 -135 |
| Yusei Kikuchi | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 109 games (+17.64 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.32 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 43 games (+5.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 away games (+4.47 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.04 Units / 22% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 58 games at home (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 42 games (+14.53 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 43 games (+10.32 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 46% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% (151/389) against Yusei Kikuchi this season — 9th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 16th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed an OPS of just .506 (113 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .703 — 100th Percentile.
65% of Yusei Kikuchi’s called strikeouts are low this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 89th Percentile.
47% of Yusei Kikuchi’s fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 95th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ty Blach has a strikeout rate of just 12% (13 SO in 108 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 38% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .325 (82-for-252) against Ty Blach since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (25-for-50) against Ty Blach on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .329 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .293 (107-for-365) against Ty Blach since last season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 65-97 (.401) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Blue Jays are just 6-43 (.122) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rockies are just 12-11 (.522) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Rockies are just 33-18 (.647) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Rockies are just 37-11 (.771) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Rockies are just 35-22 (.614) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
26% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have just 213 strikeouts in 1,137 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .637 (5,558 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Rockies have won just 49% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 30% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 824 of 11,153 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.74 (1206.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.33.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.25 (589.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.21.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Gomber (Rockies): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
- Robert Anderson (Rockies): Shoulder, D15
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Erik Swanson (Blue Jays): Spine, D15
- Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Quad, D10
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
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