- The Blue Jays are -250 favorites vs the Rockies
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Rockies starting pitcher: Robert Anderson
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Toronto Blue Jays (-250) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+190) on Sunday, September 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Blue Jays vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 74-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 64-69 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -2.5 -110 | O 11.5 -115 | -250 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -110 | U 11.5 -105 | +190 |
Blue Jays vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 68.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+10.15 Units / 127% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+15.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Rockies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Hunter Goodman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Rockies vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +100 | 1.5 -135 |
| Hunter Goodman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Rockies vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Charlie Blackmon | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Hunter Goodman | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -140 |
| Chase Anderson | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +110 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 111 games (+15.64 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 45 games (+5.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.99 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 21 away games (+3.67 Units / 14% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 games (+16.16 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 60 games at home (+13.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+12.57 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 64-72 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -5.5% ROI).
- 74-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.35 Units / -6.31% ROI
- 57-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.25 Units / -15.11% ROI
- 73-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.9 Units / 6.61% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 64-69 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -4.5% ROI).
- 49-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.25 Units / -12.01% ROI
- 59-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.15 Units / -13.78% ROI
- 72-59 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.1 Units / 5.61% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OPS of just .351 (386 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .501 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown low pitches 72% of the time (426/594) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .174 (63 Total Bases / 362 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — 96th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (301/397) of the time this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chase Anderson has located his pitches away 55% of the time (564/1,018) this season — tied for 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 32% (63/195) against Chase Anderson this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 96th Percentile.
Chase Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.1 MPH (195 batted balls) this season — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 89.2 — 94th Percentile.
Chase Anderson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 56% (109/193) of opposing batters this season — tied for 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 64% — seventh Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Blue Jays are 146-36 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Blue Jays are 67-27 (.713) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rockies are just 38-11 (.776) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Rockies are just 12-11 (.522) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Rockies are just 35-22 (.614) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rockies are just 34-18 (.654) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .352 (1,164 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Blue Jays are batting .270 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .339 (2,417 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.1 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.6.
The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,464 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
The Rockies have won just 49% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.26 (598.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rockies vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Gomber (Rockies): Back, Day-to-Day
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Finger, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Undisclosed, D60
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Bard (Rockies): Forearm, D15
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
- Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Brandon Belt (Blue Jays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Erik Swanson (Blue Jays): Spine, D15
- Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Quad, D10
- Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
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