- The Blue Jays are -130 favorites vs the Royals
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Toronto Blue Jays (-130) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+110) on Monday, April 3, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Blue Jays vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 1-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 0-3 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | O 8 -105 | -130 |
| Royals | +1.5 -160 | U 8 -115 | +110 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 58.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Drew Waters has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Royals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Alejandro Kirk | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Royals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+11.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 50 of their last 86 games (+9.67 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 1 games (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 84 away games (+0.70 Units / 1% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 108 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 40 games at home (+13.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+10.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+6.35 Units / 25% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 0-3 against the Run Line (-3.9 Units / -100% ROI).
- 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -39.13% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 31.75% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -38.57% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 0-3 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -36.76% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 29.69% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios allowed an OBP of .340 (751 PA’s) in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — fourth Percentile.
Jose Berrios had an ERA of 5.23 (172.0 IP)in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.35 — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios allowed a slugging percentage of .316 (108 Total Bases / 342 ABs) with two-strikes in 2022 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents batted .257 (96-for-373) against Jose Berrios when behind in the count in 2022 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .181 — second Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 37% (1,238/3,351) against Brady Singer in non-two strike counts since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 24% (289/1,210) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 38% (642/1,708) against Brady Singer in non-two strike counts in 2022 — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Opponents had a swing rate of just 25% (154/624) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays are 40-35 (.533) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays were 16-15 (.516) when underdogs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays were 34-21 (.618) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Blue Jays were 81-3 (.964) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals were just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 11-150 (.068) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Royals were just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Royals are just 25-76 (.248) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .663 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Blue Jays hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .815 (4,234 PA’s) in the first 3 innings since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 648 strikeouts in 3,276 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals won only 32% of their road games in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Royals hitters slugged just .368 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Royals hitters have drawn 239 walks in 3,276 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers walked 92 of 1,455 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 911 of 12,136 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 39% of their games since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers walked 126 of 1,420 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Royals pitchers have walked 248 of 2,869 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
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