- The Blue Jays are -175 favorites vs the Royals
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi
- Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Toronto Blue Jays (-175) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+145) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Blue Jays vs Royals Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 1-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 1-3 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -115 | O 10 -105 | -175 |
| Royals | +1.5 -105 | U 10 -115 | +145 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 74.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Singles Over in his last 2 games (+3.60 Units / 180% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Under in his last away game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.70 Units / 190% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Runs Over in his last game (+2.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Michael A. Taylor has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Drew Waters has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Royals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eaton | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eaton | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
Royals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eaton | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Matt Duffy | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Royals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Kris Bubic | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 76 away games (+7.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 85 away games (+3.50 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 45 of their last 85 away games (+1.70 Units / 2% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 71 of their last 128 games (+11.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 84 games at home (+2.25 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 85 games at home (+0.95 Units / 1% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 84 of their last 166 games (+0.45 Units / 0% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 0-4 against the Run Line (-4.9 Units / -100% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.7 Units / -56.25% ROI
- 3-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 47.06% ROI
- 1-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.45 Units / -53.26% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 1-3 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -53.33% ROI).
- 1-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.85 Units / -46.25% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -5.56% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -3.49% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi walked 49 of 355 right-handed batters (14%) in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 59% of Yusei Kikuchi’s breaking pitches (559/953) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 99th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi walked 58 of 454 batters (13%) in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi walked 16 of 107 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of 37% (32/86) versus Kris Bubic on inside fastballs in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.391 (241 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 1.059 — second Percentile.
Kris Bubic allowed an OPS of 1.449 (118 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count in 2022 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 1.038 — first Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.079 (430 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .761 — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays are 40-35 (.533) when underdogs since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays were 16-15 (.516) when underdogs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays were 34-21 (.618) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Blue Jays are 97-35 (.735) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals were just 4-41 (.089) when their opponents score in the first inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals were just 3-77 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Royals are just 11-150 (.068) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Royals are just 25-76 (.248) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .661 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .570.
The Blue Jays are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Blue Jays batted .189 with two-strikes in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Blue Jays hitters have just 2,501 strikeouts in 12,439 PA’s (20%) since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 648 strikeouts in 3,276 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .995 (2,337 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.085.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .301 (8,868 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals won only 32% of their road games in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 914 of 12,173 batters (7%) since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers walked 428 of 6,098 batters (7%) in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers induced opposing hitters to ground into just 97 double plays in 1,141 opportunities (9%) in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Blue Jays won 40% of games in which their opponents scored first in 2022 — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have walked 1,197 of 12,537 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 17% with runners in scoring position in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Royals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D15
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