Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 06, 2022, 10:30 AM
  • The Blue Jays (31-22) are -175 favorites vs the Royals (17-35)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (1-1), 4.21 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch (2-4), 4.81 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Toronto Blue Jays (-175) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+145) on Monday, June 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-110).

The Blue Jays vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 31-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 20-32 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 -110O 9.5 -115-175
Royals +1.5 -110U 9.5 -105+145

Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 32 games (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+7.45 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 51 games (+5.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+6.45 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.45 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Hunter Dozier has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.90 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1H Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.85 Units / 104% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1H Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.95 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 36% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 23-30 against the Run Line (-9 Units / -13.9% ROI).

  • 31-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.37% ROI
  • 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -9.05% ROI
  • 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -1.28% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 20-32 against the Run Line (-23.55 Units / -32.46% ROI).

  • 17-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.45 Units / -28.43% ROI
  • 28-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 7.22% ROI
  • 22-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -15.7% ROI

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (22/33) against Ross Stripling’s curve and slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 11% (8/72) against Ross Stripling on elevated fastballs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .329 (51-for-155) against Ross Stripling on sliders since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .215 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (18/27) against Ross Stripling on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.

Daniel A. Lynch: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of 38% (32/85) against Daniel Lynch with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Daniel Lynch has allowed an OBP of .364 (508 PA’s) since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .306 — first Percentile.

Daniel Lynch has allowed an OBP of .375 (456 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .306 — second Percentile.

Daniel Lynch has an ERA of 6.46 (62.2 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 4.03 — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Blue Jays are 3-13 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Blue Jays are 23-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .905.

The Blue Jays are 2-15 (.118) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .075.

The Blue Jays are 26-7 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Royals are just 0-19 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

The Royals are just 17-30 (.362) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Royals are just 2-17 (.105) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Royals are just 5-17 (.227) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .680 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Blue Jays are batting .261 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Blue Jays hitters have just 1,237 strikeouts in 6,091 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Blue Jays are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Royals hitters have drawn 153 walks in 2,209 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals hitters have 158 extra-base hits out of 518 total hits (just 30%) against LHP since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Royals have won just 43% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.

Royals hitters have just 424 strikeouts in 2,209 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 132 of 1,962 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 605 of 7,878 batters (8%) since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 30 of 471 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Donald Greinke (Royals): Flexor, D15
  • Amir Garrett (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Gabriel Speier (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Cameron Gallagher (Royals): Hamstring, D10
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D10
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
  • Matthew Peacock (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D10
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.