Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 07, 2022, 10:40 AM
  • The Blue Jays (32-22) are -225 favorites vs the Royals (17-36)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (6-1), 1.97 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (1-6), 4.15 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Toronto Blue Jays (-225) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+180) on Tuesday, June 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).

The Blue Jays vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 32-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 20-33 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 -135O 8.5 +100-225
Royals +1.5 +110U 8.5 -120+180

Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 56.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+9.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+6.45 Units / 71% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Hunter Dozier has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Hunter Dozier has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 51 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+6.85 Units / 90% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 24-30 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -12.11% ROI).

  • 32-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.85% ROI
  • 25-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -10.73% ROI
  • 28-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.42% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 20-33 against the Run Line (-24.55 Units / -33.38% ROI).

  • 17-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -29.72% ROI
  • 28-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 5.18% ROI
  • 23-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -13.72% ROI

Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .149 (121 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .366 (121 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — 100th Percentile.

Alek Manoah allowed a batting average of just .122 vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .291 vs left-handed batters this season (fifth worst among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.

Alek Manoah allowed a batting average of just .160 vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 88th Percentile and .310 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 11th Percentile.

Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 32% (33 SO in 104 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.

Brad Keller has struck out just 12% (16/131) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .390 (16-for-41) against Brad Keller on low fastballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .274 — 14th Percentile.

Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 13% (33 SO in 252 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Blue Jays are 3-13 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Blue Jays are 27-1 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Blue Jays are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Blue Jays are 27-7 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Royals are just 0-19 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.

The Royals are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.

The Royals are just 17-31 (.354) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Royals are just 8-18 (.308) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .685 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Blue Jays are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .346 (388 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Blue Jays are batting .262 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Royals hitters have just 426 strikeouts in 2,212 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have drawn 153 walks in 2,212 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Royals have won just 29% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.

Royals hitters have 158 extra-base hits out of 518 total hits (just 30%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 133 of 1,992 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 31 of 480 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 24 of 457 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (119.8 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 115.7).

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Royals have won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Royals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Donald Greinke (Royals): Flexor, D15
  • Amir Garrett (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Gabriel Speier (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Andrew Benintendi (Royals): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • Cameron Gallagher (Royals): Hamstring, D10
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D10
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
  • Matthew Peacock (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.