- The Blue Jays (32-22) are -225 favorites vs the Royals (17-36)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah (6-1), 1.97 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (1-6), 4.15 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Toronto Blue Jays (-225) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+180) on Tuesday, June 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Blue Jays vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 32-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 20-33 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -135 | O 8.5 +100 | -225 |
| Royals | +1.5 +110 | U 8.5 -120 | +180 |
Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 56.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+9.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+9.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+6.45 Units / 71% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Hunter Dozier has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+7.45 Units / 91% ROI)
- Hunter Dozier has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.35 Units / 69% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Emmanuel Rivera has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 58% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 30 of their last 51 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Strikeouts Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+7.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 away games (+6.85 Units / 90% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 24-30 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -12.11% ROI).
- 32-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.85% ROI
- 25-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.4 Units / -10.73% ROI
- 28-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 0.42% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 20-33 against the Run Line (-24.55 Units / -33.38% ROI).
- 17-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -29.72% ROI
- 28-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 5.18% ROI
- 23-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.1 Units / -13.72% ROI
Alek Manoah: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of just .149 (121 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed an OPS of just .366 (121 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — 100th Percentile.
Alek Manoah allowed a batting average of just .122 vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .291 vs left-handed batters this season (fifth worst among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.
Alek Manoah allowed a batting average of just .160 vs right-handed batters (10th best)– 88th Percentile and .310 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (seventh worst among qualified SPs)– 11th Percentile.
Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 32% (33 SO in 104 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.
Brad Keller has struck out just 12% (16/131) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .390 (16-for-41) against Brad Keller on low fastballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .274 — 14th Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 13% (33 SO in 252 PAs) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Blue Jays are 3-13 (.188) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Blue Jays are 27-1 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Blue Jays are 24-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Blue Jays are 27-7 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Royals are just 0-19 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .328.
The Royals are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Royals are just 17-31 (.354) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Royals are just 8-18 (.308) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .685 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Blue Jays are batting .373 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .346 (388 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Blue Jays are batting .262 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 426 strikeouts in 2,212 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have drawn 153 walks in 2,212 PA’s (7%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Royals have won just 29% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.
Royals hitters have 158 extra-base hits out of 518 total hits (just 30%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 133 of 1,992 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 31 of 480 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 24 of 457 batters (5%) over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (119.8 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 115.7).
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Royals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Flexor, D15
- Amir Garrett (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
- Gabriel Speier (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
- Andrew Benintendi (Royals): Calf, Day-to-Day
- Cameron Gallagher (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D10
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D10
- Matthew Peacock (Royals): Undisclosed, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
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