• The Blue Jays are -120 favorites vs the Royals
• Blue Jays vs Royals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Royals TV Channel: RSN | TVA | RYTV

The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+100) on September 6, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Blue Jays are 72-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 69-69 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 7-8, 4.84 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Randy Dobnak 2-3, 2.69 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• Alejandro Kirk has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 46% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 48% ROI)
• Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.90 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+16.00 Units / 64% ROI)
• John Rave has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+14.00 Units / 350% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.55 Units / 38% ROI)
• Isaac Collins has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 32% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+14.80 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 35 games (+10.85 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.90 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.25 Units / 42% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+5.95 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 73-69 against the Run Line (-2.15 Units / -1.16% ROI).

• 72-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -3.63% ROI
• 71-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -2.29% ROI
• 68-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -6.29% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 69-69 against the Run Line (-16.7 Units / -8.49% ROI).

• 63-80 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.9 Units / -10.58% ROI
• 66-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -8.21% ROI
• 72-66 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.03% ROI

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Blue Jays are just 7-50 (.123) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are just 12-32 (.273) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are 113-17 (.869) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays were 71-4 (.947) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Royals are just 8-32 (.200) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Royals are just 63-80 (.441) this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Royals are just 50-11 (.820) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Royals are just 9-45 (.167) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have chased 41% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .192 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .354 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of just .298 (1,572 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for highest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .300 (2,731 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 44% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .192 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.8 MPH this season (3,342 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.8 MPH (3,342 batted balls) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .236 against Blue Jays pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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