- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Tigers
- Blue Jays vs Tigers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Tigers TV Channel: RSN | FDDT
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-115) on Friday, July 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI, MI.
This season, the Blue Jays are 61-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 51-53 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 6-4, 3.86 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 4-2, 4.33 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -118 | -105 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -102 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Loperfido has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Joey Loperfido has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+8.60 Units / 96% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 84% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+20.50 Units / 256% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+12.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+8.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games (+20.59 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 102 games (+20.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 71 games (+14.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 48 games (+13.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+6.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 60 of their last 104 games (+15.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 51 games at home (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games at home (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 104 games (+7.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 76 games (+7.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 62-40 against the Run Line (+19.35 Units / 13.74% ROI).
- 61-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.39 Units / 13.01% ROI
- 54-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.85 Units / 4.27% ROI
- 45-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.8 Units / -12.2% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 51-53 against the Run Line (-8.05 Units / -6.1% ROI).
- 60-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 2.64% ROI
- 52-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.09% ROI
- 48-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -7.89% ROI
Tigers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Keider Montero (DET) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +125 |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (28/167) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of .612 (41 Total Bases / 67 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .408 — fourth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 56% of the time (557/988) when behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (23/146) against Jose Berrios this month (4 games) — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — sixth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .356 (16-for-45) against Keider Montero’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .215 — first Percentile.
Keider Montero has walked 14% of opponent 7-8-9 hitters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Keider Montero has allowed a slugging percentage of .656 (40 Total Bases / 61 ABs) on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: .387 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% (39/108) against Keider Montero’s fastball this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 40 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 96th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 6-31 (.162) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .091.
The Blue Jays are 18-2 (.900) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Blue Jays are 21-7 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .634.
The Blue Jays are 49-3 (.942) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .878.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are 72-8 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
The Tigers are 52-13 (.800) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Tigers are 33-4 (.892) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .745.
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .183 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .384 (495 PA’s) against RHP this month (19 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .602 (363 PA’s) over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .729.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .321 over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers hitters have struck out in 37% of their PA’s with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 26% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 3% of batters over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 5% of batters over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 2% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (19 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have not walked any of the 58 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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