- The Blue Jays are -130 favorites vs the Tigers
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo
- Watch the game on BSDET
The Toronto Blue Jays (-130) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+110) on Friday, July 7, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Blue Jays vs Tigers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 48-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 45-41 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +120 | O 9 +100 | -130 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -145 | U 9 -120 | +110 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 68.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+19.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 48 games (+17.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+14.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+10.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Tigers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Manoah | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Alex Faedo | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 63 games (+18.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 63 games (+12.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 75 games (+7.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 games (+6.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 76 games (+6.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 31% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 39-49 against the Run Line (-13.65 Units / -12.45% ROI).
- 48-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.05 Units / -6.25% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.4 Units / -10.77% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 1.85% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 45-41 against the Run Line (-1.4 Units / -1.32% ROI).
- 38-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 2.71% ROI
- 47-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 7.31% ROI
- 36-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.1 Units / -16.12% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has allowed an OBP of .355 (152 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 0 Percentile.
Alek Manoah has walked 42 of 282 batters (15%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Alek Manoah has walked 13 of 62 batters (21%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .159 (51-for-321) against Alek Manoah in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 56-80 (.412) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .287.
The Blue Jays are 6-2 (.750) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Blue Jays are just 4-30 (.118) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Blue Jays are 3-32 (.086) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 54-69 (.439) at home since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Tigers are just 17-100 (.145) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Tigers are 14-6 (.700) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Tigers are just 101-126 (.445) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .265 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Blue Jays are batting .263 on the road since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Blue Jays are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Blue Jays hitters have just 371 strikeouts in 1,894 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,832 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .626 (6,832 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .341 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 689 of 9,393 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 8 of 225 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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