- The Blue Jays are -225 favorites vs the Tigers
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays (-225) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+185) on Saturday, July 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Blue Jays vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 49-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 45-42 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -135 | O 8 -110 | -225 |
| Tigers | +1.5 +110 | U 8 -110 | +185 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 85.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 39 of his last 49 games (+18.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+17.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+8.80 Units / 14% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+15.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+9.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.60 Units / 77% ROI)
Tigers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| George Springer | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Chapman | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Brandon Belt | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 7.5 -145 | 7.5 +110 |
| Matt Manning | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 64 games (+17.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 away games (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.90 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.30 Units / 36% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+13.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 76 games (+6.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 77 games (+5.00 Units / 5% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 40-49 against the Run Line (-12.45 Units / -11.26% ROI).
- 49-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.05 Units / -5.42% ROI
- 40-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.4 Units / -9.62% ROI
- 45-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.75 Units / 0.76% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 45-42 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -2.6% ROI).
- 38-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 1.61% ROI
- 48-36 when betting on the total runs Over for +8 Units / 8.26% ROI
- 36-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.15 Units / -17.05% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .147 (33 Total Bases / 225 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OPS of just .291 (272 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .497 — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .159 (271 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 98th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has thrown his fastball for a strike 77% (1,798/2,329) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has not allowed a walk in his last 53 PAs against a RHH dating back to April 4th — Austin Gomber has the longest active streak at 80.
Matt Manning has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 5 double plays in 144 opportunities (4%) since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Matt Manning has a strikeout rate of just 16% (120 SO in 743 PAs) since the 2021 season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Matt Manning has thrown fastballs 62% of the time (856/1,381) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 96th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 6-2 (.750) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
The Blue Jays are 57-24 (.704) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Blue Jays are 24-7 (.774) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Blue Jays are 28-19 (.596) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 6-10 (.375) after a road win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Tigers are just 54-70 (.435) at home since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Tigers are 14-6 (.700) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .590.
The Tigers are just 19-24 (.442) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .378 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Blue Jays hitters have just 372 strikeouts in 1,898 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .266 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Blue Jays hitters have just 122 strikeouts in 645 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (6,865 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .625 (6,865 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .273 (406 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .298 (4,511 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 1 of 56 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 245 of 3,292 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
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