Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 9

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 09, 2023, 12:03 PM
  • The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal
  • Watch the game on BSDET

The Toronto Blue Jays (-135) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+115) on Sunday, July 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Blue Jays vs Tigers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Blue Jays are 49-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 46-42 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +135O 8 +100-135
Tigers +1.5 -160U 8 -120+115

Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 64.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • George Springer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+9.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 away games (+6.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Tyler Heineman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tyler Heineman has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.60 Units / 77% ROI)
  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.55 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Nick Maton has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Eduardo Rodriguez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 64% ROI)

Tigers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andy Ibanez 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Javier Baez 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Riley Greene 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +1050 0.5
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100

Tigers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andy Ibanez 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Javier Baez 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Riley Greene 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Tigers vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andy Ibanez 0.5 +195 0.5 -250
Javier Baez 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Riley Greene 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 +155 0.5 -210

Tigers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Bassitt 5.5 +125 5.5 -160
Tarik Skubal 4.5 +110 4.5 -150
Tarik Skubal 3.5 -165 3.5 +130
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+7.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 away games (+1.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 65 games (+12.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 77 games (+8.00 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 78 games (+6.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 40-50 against the Run Line (-13.8 Units / -12.33% ROI).

  • 49-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -7.06% ROI
  • 40-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -10.62% ROI
  • 46-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.75 Units / 1.76% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 46-42 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -1.52% ROI).

  • 39-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.4 Units / 3.61% ROI
  • 48-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.9 Units / 7.04% ROI
  • 37-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -15.81% ROI

Chris Bassitt has allowed a just .264 SLG vs right-handed batters (best)– 100th Percentile and .574 vs left-handed batters this season (second worst among qualified SPs)– fourth Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .179 (38-for-212) against Chris Bassitt this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed a slugging percentage of just .264 (56 Total Bases / 212 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 — 100th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of just .510 (232 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .686 — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tarik Skubal has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to July 13rd, 2022 — the longest active streak is 9.

Tarik Skubal has pitched 22.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Jesus Luzardo has the longest active streak at 23.0.

Tarik Skubal has not allowed a home run in any of the last 32.2 innings he’s appeared — Jack Flaherty has the longest active streak at 56.1.

71% of Tarik Skubal’s called strikeouts are inside against right-handed batters since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 97th Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Blue Jays are 6-2 (.750) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.

The Blue Jays are 22-29 (.431) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.

The Blue Jays are 123-29 (.809) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Blue Jays are just 4-22 (.154) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Tigers are 15-5 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .611.

The Tigers are 23-3 (.885) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.

The Tigers are just 101-127 (.443) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Tigers are just 17-101 (.144) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.

The Blue Jays are batting .377 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .342.

The Blue Jays are batting .368 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .342.

The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .429 against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .625 (6,896 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .272 (412 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .341 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (6,896 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 3.41 (377.0 IP) at home this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.

Tigers pitchers have walked 248 of 3,322 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
  • William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
  • Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
  • Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
  • Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
  • Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
  • Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.