- The Blue Jays (34-24) are -130 favorites vs the Tigers (24-34)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Thomas Stripling (2-1), 3.649 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal (5-2), 2.33 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Toronto Blue Jays (-130) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+105) on Sunday, June 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Blue Jays vs Tigers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 34-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 28-30 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 -115 | -130 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -150 | U 8.5 -105 | +105 |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s matchup with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Tigers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+13.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+11.85 Units / 91% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+11.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Santiago Espinal has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+11.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the RBIs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 64% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+8.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 away games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+16.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+8.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+7.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.20 Units / 73% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 26-32 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -12.04% ROI).
- 34-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -1.59% ROI
- 27-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -10.3% ROI
- 30-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 28-30 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -3.96% ROI).
- 24-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -7.58% ROI
- 19-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.45 Units / -31.93% ROI
- 36-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.45 Units / 24.16% ROI
Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Ross Stripling changeup was May 18th. Hitters are 0 for their last 18 in ABs ending on his changeup. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Opponents are hitting .323 (51-for-158) against Ross Stripling on sliders since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .215 — first Percentile.
Ross Stripling allowed an OPS of just .125 (16 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .711 — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 50 of Ross Stripling’s 96 changeups out of the zone (chase rate of 52%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .552 (253 PA’s) this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .111 (5-for-45) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 96th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .167 (36 PA’s) against right-handed batters — 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .291 — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .156 (7 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — 95th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 2-17 (.105) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .074.
The Blue Jays are 26-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Blue Jays are 29-1 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .926.
The Blue Jays are 29-8 (.784) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are just 1-13 (.071) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Tigers are just 3-17 (.150) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
The Tigers are just 1-24 (.040) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Tigers are 8-1 (.889) when scoring in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .666.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .263 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.
The Blue Jays are batting .488 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,264 strikeouts in 6,267 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .453 against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .298 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .556 (953 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .321 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .395 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 32 of 514 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 148 of 2,136 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (119.8 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 115.8).
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Elbow, D15
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Ribcage, D15
- Jeimer Candelario (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D15
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D10
- Andrew Vasquez (Blue Jays): Ankle, D15
- Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Wrist, Day-to-Day
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