• The Tigers are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
• Blue Jays vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Tigers TV Channel: DSN | RSN | ESUN | TVA

The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-135) on May 16, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10 pm in Detroit, MI.

This season, the Blue Jays are 19-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 19-23 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Mason Fluharty 2-0, 5.53 ERA
• Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 2-2, 2.91 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+15.40 Units / 220% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+8.85 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.25 Units / 54% ROI)
• Zach McKinstry has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.75 Units / 26% ROI)
• Spencer Torkelson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+11.60 Units / 129% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+14.75 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.35 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+4.10 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+4.00 Units / 71% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+10.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+6.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 19-25 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -14.78% ROI).

• 19-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.5 Units / -22.58% ROI
• 21-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -4.33% ROI
• 21-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -3.83% ROI

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 19-23 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -9.5% ROI).

• 20-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -15.45% ROI
• 21-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -6.54% ROI
• 22-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -1.93% ROI

Tigers vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Tigers vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Blue Jays are just 6-14 (.300) on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .459.

The Blue Jays are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Blue Jays are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Blue Jays are 16-72 (.182) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Tigers are just 1-8 (.111) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.

The Tigers are just 14-6 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Tigers are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Tigers are just 2-16 (.111) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters are averaging just 3.74 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — highest in MLB.

Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends

Tigers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting .266 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH this season (1,050 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed an exit velocity of 95 MPH or greater 388 times this season — 3rd fewest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strike rate of 65% this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 4th best in MLB.

Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends

Tigers pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Avg of 43% against the Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 23% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 10 home runs at home this season — fewest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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