- The Blue Jays (59-47) are -120 favorites vs the Twins (56-50)
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Mitchell White (1-2), 3.69 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Dylan Bundy (6-5), 5.03 ERA
- Watch the game on BSN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-120) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+100) on Saturday, August 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Blue Jays vs Twins Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Blue Jays are 59-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 49-57 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +135 | O 9 -110 | -120 |
| Twins | +1.5 -160 | U 9 -110 | +100 |
Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s matchup with 69.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 42 away games (+16.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 37 away games (+15.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.85 Units / 45% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 42 away games (+14.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 37 of his last 62 games (+11.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 39 games at home (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 32 games at home (+12.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.10 Units / 48% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+11.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -650 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +100 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gary Sanchez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Jake Cave | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Bundy | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +100 |
| Mitch White | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Blue Jays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 64 games (+22.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 65 games (+13.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+3.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.25 Units / 26% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Twins: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 60 of their last 104 games (+11.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 69 games (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+5.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 94 games (+4.50 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 48-58 against the Run Line (-14.6 Units / -11.28% ROI).
- 59-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -8.8% ROI
- 54-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.35 Units / -2.03% ROI
- 51-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.35 Units / -7.94% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 49-57 against the Run Line (-10.8 Units / -8.38% ROI).
- 56-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -0.21% ROI
- 51-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 47-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.9 Units / -7.6% ROI
Mitchell White: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Dylan Bundy: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Bundy has walked 6 of 165 left-handed batters (4%) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 70% of Dylan Bundy’s pitches (265/381) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .324 (45-for-139) against Dylan Bundy’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .237 — third Percentile.
Dylan Bundy has allowed a slugging percentage of .400 (161 Total Bases / 403 ABs) when ahead in the count since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .297 — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Blue Jays are 47-1 (.979) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .885.
The Blue Jays are 34-21 (.618) at home this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Blue Jays are 48-13 (.787) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Blue Jays are 50-2 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Twins are just 47-6 (.887) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 14-25 (.359) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 8-21 (.276) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .267 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Blue Jays hitters have just 148 strikeouts in 811 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .270 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters are slugging .530 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Twins hitters are slugging .424 on the road since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Twins hitters have 51 extra-base hits out of 101 total hits (51%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Twins are batting just .167 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 753 of 9,853 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 280 of 3,937 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Twins have won just 14% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of 2020 — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 38% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
- Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
- Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
- Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
- Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
- Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
- John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Foot, D10
- Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
- Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
- Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
- Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
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