Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 07, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Blue Jays (59-48) are -175 favorites vs the Twins (57-50)
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman (8-8), 3.06 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Christopher Archer (2-5), 4.05 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-175) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+145) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Blue Jays vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Blue Jays are 59-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 50-57 ATS.

Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 -105O 8 -115-175
Twins +1.5 -115U 8 -105+145

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s matchup with 61.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 43 away games (+17.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.85 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 43 away games (+15.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 38 away games (+14.75 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 63 games (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 40 games at home (+14.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+13.15 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Jose Miranda has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+12.05 Units / 56% ROI)

Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +400 0.5 -800
Jake Cave 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Jose Miranda 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Luis Arraez 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000

Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gary Sanchez 0.5 -115 0.5 -120
Jake Cave 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Jorge Polanco 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Jose Miranda 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Luis Arraez 1.5 +155 1.5 -225

Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gary Sanchez 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Jake Cave 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Jorge Polanco 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Jose Miranda 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Luis Arraez 0.5 +250 0.5 -400

Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Archer 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
Gausman 5.5 -140 5.5 +100
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 43 of their last 65 games (+22.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games (+14.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+2.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 61 of their last 105 games (+12.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 70 games (+10.35 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games at home (+5.90 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 95 games (+5.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 77% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 48-59 against the Run Line (-15.6 Units / -11.96% ROI).

  • 59-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -17 Units / -9.35% ROI
  • 55-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -1.15% ROI
  • 51-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.5 Units / -8.83% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 50-57 against the Run Line (-9.8 Units / -7.51% ROI).

  • 57-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.7 Units / 0.49% ROI
  • 52-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 0.85% ROI
  • 47-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.05 Units / -8.5% ROI

Kevin Gausman has allowed a BABIP of .431 against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .290 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (372/917) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of 43% (163/375) against Kevin Gausman this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 80% (264/332) of the time this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.

Christopher Archer: Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Archer has thrown his slider 52% of the time (179/342) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 98th Percentile.

Chris Archer has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 44% (48/110) of left-handed hitters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.

Chris Archer has thrown off-speed pitches 71% of the time (243/342) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total NonFB; League Avg: 39% — 99th Percentile.

Chris Archer has walked 13 of 91 batters (14%) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 6% — 0 Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Blue Jays are just 7-11 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Blue Jays are 47-1 (.979) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .885.

The Blue Jays are just 2-39 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Blue Jays are 144-15 (.906) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Twins are just 8-21 (.276) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Twins are just 5-7 (.417) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 48-6 (.889) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Blue Jays are batting .266 with two outs since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.

Blue Jays hitters have just 149 strikeouts in 815 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .667 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .456 against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Twins are batting just .182 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.

Twins hitters are slugging .420 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .390.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .324 (2,006 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .308.

Twins hitters are slugging .531 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 284 of 3,977 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Blue Jays pitchers have walked 757 of 9,893 batters (8%) since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Twins have won just 14% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Twins pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Twins vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Garlick (Twins): Ribcage, D10
  • Daniel Coulombe (Twins): Hip, D60
  • Jhon Romero (Twins): Biceps, D60
  • Randy Dobnak (Twins): Finger, D60
  • Alexander Kirilloff (Twins): Wrist, D10
  • Miguel Sanó (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
  • Kenta Maeda (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Trevor Larnach (Twins): Core, D10
  • John Ober (Twins): Groin, D60
  • Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Jorge Alcala (Twins): Elbow, D60
  • Cody Stashak (Twins): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Jeffers (Twins): Thumb, D10
  • Julian Merryweather (Blue Jays): Side, D60
  • Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Forearm, D60
  • Nathan Pearson (Blue Jays): Mono, D60
  • Tayler Saucedo (Blue Jays): Hip, D60
  • Thomas Stripling (Blue Jays): Glute/Hip, D15
  • Timothy Mayza (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D15
  • George Springer (Blue Jays): Elbow, D10

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.