• The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Twins
• Blue Jays vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Blue Jays / Twins TV Channel: TWTV | RSN1

The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-115) on May 1, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Blue Jays are 14-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 16-16 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 0-0, 3.73 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Simeon Woods Richardson 0-4, 6.31 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Twins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 41% ROI)
• Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 35% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 29% ROI)
• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+8.75 Units / 18% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+8.10 Units / 162% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+15.70 Units / 174% ROI)
• Austin Martin has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+14.05 Units / 93% ROI)
• Luke Keaschall has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
• Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)
• Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 31% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 50 away games (+7.35 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+6.95 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.30 Units / 18% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+10.10 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.40 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 35 games at home (+7.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.55 Units / 33% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 12-19 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -21.22% ROI).

• 14-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.8 Units / -22.37% ROI
• 15-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.5 Units / -4.38% ROI
• 15-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -3.98% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 16-16 against the Run Line (-5.85 Units / -12.62% ROI).

• 14-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -7.26% ROI
• 17-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 10.54% ROI
• 12-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -19.55% ROI

Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Blue Jays are 80-6 (.930) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Blue Jays are 14-67 (.173) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Blue Jays are 7-71 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Blue Jays are just 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Twins are just 6-23 (.207) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 29-36 (.446) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2025 season Today, they face the Blue Jays (20th runs allowed).

The Twins are just 23-90 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Twins are just 2-12 (.143) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .220.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .181 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

Twins hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have a 56% QAB rate with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .163 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.00 (27.0 IP) against division opponents this season — tied for best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Twins pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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