- The Twins are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt
- Twins starting pitcher: Pablo López
- Watch the game on BSN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+100) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-120) on Saturday, May 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The Twins are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Blue Jays vs Twins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Blue Jays are 27-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 26-25 ATS.
Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -110 | +100 |
| Twins | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -110 | -120 |
Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Blue Jays and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 away games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 away games (+10.10 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kevin Kiermaier has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 away games (+9.75 Units / 81% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 18 games (+9.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+11.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+9.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| George Springer | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Twins vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kevin Kiermaier | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| George Springer | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Lopez | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Chris Bassitt | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -155 |
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 26 away games (+3.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 17 away games (+2.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+6.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+4.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 25-27 against the Run Line (-4 Units / -6.16% ROI).
- 27-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -9.13% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -8.46% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 26-25 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 0.89% ROI).
- 26-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -8.81% ROI
- 21-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.9 Units / -15.74% ROI
- 27-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.05 Units / 7.23% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .186 (41-for-220) against Chris Bassitt this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .154 (19-for-123) against Chris Bassitt this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OPS of just .488 (136 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .695 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed a BABIP of .199 this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 97th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 33% (64/195) against Pablo Lopez this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has thrown his curveball 29% of the time (183/627) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a strikeout rate of 30% (75 SO in 246 PAs) this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Pablo Lopez has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (173/243) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Blue Jays are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Blue Jays are 102-24 (.810) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Blue Jays are 13-14 (.481) after a win as underdogs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Blue Jays are just 22-2 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Twins are just 5-21 (.192) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .608.
The Twins are just 13-27 (.325) after a win as underdogs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Twins are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting .267 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Blue Jays hitters have just 76 strikeouts in 435 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 326 strikeouts in 1,688 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 102 total hits (just 26%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .136 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Twins hitters have been successful in 160% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
The Twins are batting just .214 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Twins hitters are slugging just .368 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 17 of 127 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (14 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Twins pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 40% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Twins vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Pneumonia, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D10
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D15
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique Strain, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Hyun Jin Ryu (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Jansen (Blue Jays): Groin, D10
- Zachery Pop (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Blue Jays): Back, Day-to-Day
- Santiago Espinal (Blue Jays): Hamstring, D10
- Chad Green (Blue Jays): Undisclosed, D60
- Mitchell White (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
Bet now on Blue Jays vs Twins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
