• The Blue Jays are -115 favorites vs the Twins
• Blue Jays vs Twins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Blue Jays / Twins TV Channel: PEAC | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-115) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (-105) on May 3, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:45 pm in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Blue Jays are 16-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 16-18 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Trey Yesavage 1-0, 0.00 ERA
• Twins starting pitcher: Joe Ryan 2-3, 3.76 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Blue Jays vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Twins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

• Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+16.60 Units / 184% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.65 Units / 36% ROI)
• George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 41% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.80 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.65 Units / 59% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Byron Buxton has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+19.10 Units / 191% ROI)
• Brooks Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 39% ROI)
• Byron Buxton has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 63% ROI)
• Byron Buxton has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 30% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.60 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 away games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)

Twins Best Bets Today:

• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+9.40 Units / 47% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.55 Units / 29% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 14-19 against the Run Line (-5.5 Units / -13.85% ROI).

• 16-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.8 Units / -16.85% ROI
• 17-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.5 Units / 1.37% ROI
• 15-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -9.57% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 16-18 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -17.77% ROI).

• 14-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -12.69% ROI
• 19-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.7 Units / 15.24% ROI
• 12-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -9 Units / -24.06% ROI

Twins vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Twins vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Blue Jays are 15-67 (.183) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Blue Jays are 82-6 (.932) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Blue Jays are 7-71 (.090) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Blue Jays are 18-64 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .128.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Twins are just 6-23 (.207) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Twins are just 4-84 (.045) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .094.

The Twins are just 23-92 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Twins are just 3-16 (.158) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Blue Jays are batting .180 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB.

Twins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Twins are batting just .191 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Twins are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins hitters have an OBP of .342 (480 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% versus the bottom of the order this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Blue Jays pitchers have struck out 26% of left-handed batters they faced this season — best in MLB.

Twins Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Twins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Twins pitchers have walked 8% of batters since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins pitchers since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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